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Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas Lukas Frölicher

    (Environmental Physics, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics
    Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University)

  • Michael Winton

    (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

  • Jorge Louis Sarmiento

    (Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University)

Abstract

Stopping anthropogenic carbon emissions will not result in a sudden decrease in temperature. Earth system models are used to show that there may be an increase in warming after an initial decrease. This is a result of feedbacks from decreased ocean heat uptake, which exceed the cooling from decreased atmospheric CO2.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Lukas Frölicher & Michael Winton & Jorge Louis Sarmiento, 2014. "Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(1), pages 40-44, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:1:d:10.1038_nclimate2060
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2060
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    Cited by:

    1. Richard Millar & Alexander Otto & Piers Forster & Jason Lowe & William Ingram & Myles Allen, 2015. "Model structure in observational constraints on transient climate response," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(2), pages 199-211, July.
    2. David O. Omole & Julius M. Ndambuki, 2014. "Sustainable Living in Africa: Case of Water, Sanitation, Air Pollution and Energy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(8), pages 1-16, August.
    3. Peter Michaelis & Heiko Wirths, 2020. "DICE-RD: an implementation of rate-related damages in the DICE model," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 22(4), pages 555-584, October.
    4. Thomas W. Davies & Oren Levy & Svenja Tidau & Laura Fernandes Barros Marangoni & Joerg Wiedenmann & Cecilia D’Angelo & Tim Smyth, 2023. "Global disruption of coral broadcast spawning associated with artificial light at night," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-7, December.
    5. Reto Knutti & Joeri Rogelj, 2015. "The legacy of our CO 2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(3), pages 361-373, December.

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