Interest rate expectations and macroeconomic shocks affecting the yield curve
AbstractThis study briefly presents the tools the Magyar Nemzeti Bank uses to estimate and interpret the yield curve, and to analyse the underlying reasons of yield changes. The first part of the study compares the yields of government securities and those of interbank and interest rate swap markets, and examines the reasons behind their differences. The second part sums up the dynamic model that is used to describe the interaction between the yield curve and the macroeconomy. This model enables us to examine the different macroeconomic shocks which impact the development of the yield curve; from a central bank perspective it is particularly important to gauge the impact of monetary policy shocks and monetary policy measures on longterm yields.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Magyar Nemzeti Bank (the central bank of Hungary) in its journal MNB Bulletin.
Volume (Year): 3 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
interest rate expectation; macroeconomic shock; yield curve; dynamic model; monetary policy shock.;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
You can help add them by filling out this form.
reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Johanna Jeney).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.