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Household indebtedness and financial stability: Reasons to be afraid?

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Author Info
Dániel Holló () (Magyar Nemzeti Bank (central bank of Hungary))
Abstract

The dynamic increase in household indebtedness seen in Hungary in recent years has raised a number of questions relating to the risks of this growth and the long-term sustainability of banking portfolio quality. The continuous monitoring of risks is a task of the MNB, which stems from its supervisory role over financial stability. In order to explore the extent and structure of household indebtedness, the central bank conducted a questionnaire-based survey among indebted households in January 2007. In this article, we present the structural distribution and riskiness of indebted households as well as the effect of various unfavourable macroeconomic developments on banks’ portfolio quality and capital adequacy, based on the findings of the survey. Our findings suggest that the shock absorbing capacity of the banking sector is sufficient (i.e. the capital adequacy ratio of the banking system would not fall below the current regulatory minimum of 8 per cent) even if the most extreme stress scenarios were to occur.

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File URL: http://english.mnb.hu/Resource.aspx?ResourceID=mnbfile&resourcename=hollo_en
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Magyar Nemzeti Bank (The Central Bank of Hungary) in its journal MNB Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 2 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (November)
Pages: 23-30
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:mnb:bullet:v:2:y:2007:i:2:p:23-30

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Web page: http://www.mnb.hu/
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Related research
Keywords: Financial margin; financial Stability; stress test.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Mortgages
G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Capital and Ownership Structure

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-13.


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