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An additional explanation for the variable Keynesian multiplier: The role of the propensity to import

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  • Sébastien Charles

Abstract

This article analyzes the concept of the Keynesian multiplier from a new perspective. Several recent studies have shown that the fiscal multiplier is endogenous to the level of economic activity, increasing during recessions and decreasing during the boom. Here, we provide some evidence, explaining this variability over the business cycle, based on the overreaction of aggregate imports. Then, we apply the concept of endogenous propensity to import, varying with capacity utilization, to a neo-Kaleckian model of growth and distribution. We perform some simple simulations showing that the Keynesian multiplier increases during a recession, which logically does not advocate a reduction in public spending when the economy is in crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Sébastien Charles, 2016. "An additional explanation for the variable Keynesian multiplier: The role of the propensity to import," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 187-205, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:39:y:2016:i:2:p:187-205
    DOI: 10.1080/01603477.2016.1127121
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    Cited by:

    1. Theodore Mariolis & Nikolaos Ntemiroglou & George Soklis, 2018. "The static demand multipliers in a joint production framework: comparative findings for the Greek, Spanish and Eurozone economies," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Amaral Haddad, Eduardo & Cotarelli, Natalia & Vale, Vinicius, 2018. "On the Numerical Structure of Local and Nationwide Government Spending Multipliers: What Can We Learn from the Greek Crisis?," TD NEREUS 2-2018, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    3. Grodzicki, Maciej J. & Możdżeń, Michał, 2021. "Central and Eastern European economies in a Goldilocks age: A model of labor market institutional choice," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Natalia Cotarelli & Thiago Cavalcante Simonato & Vinicius Almeida Vale & Jaqueline Coelho Visentin, 2020. "The Grand Tour: Keynes and Goodwin go to Greece," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.

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