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Global Liquidity, Current Account Deficit, and Exchange Rate Balance Sheet Effects in Turkey

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  • Ahmet Çalışkan
  • Amira Karimova

Abstract

This study investigates the current account deficit (CAD) of Turkey from the perspective of its capital account. We discuss how global liquidity conditions and monetary policies in Turkey have contributed to higher deficits through real exchange rate appreciations. We analyze the impact and consequences of exchange rate (ER) changes on the investments of non-financial firms. In the case of real ER depreciations, we find that the magnitude of the contractionary effect through balance sheets of firms with dollarized liabilities is significantly higher than the expansionary effect through trade competitiveness. We also analyze the “soft-landing” policies aimed at reducing the CAD in Turkey and estimate the rate of economic growth that must be foregone for a percentage reduction in CAD.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmet Çalışkan & Amira Karimova, 2017. "Global Liquidity, Current Account Deficit, and Exchange Rate Balance Sheet Effects in Turkey," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(7), pages 1619-1640, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:53:y:2017:i:7:p:1619-1640
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2016.1216837
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    Cited by:

    1. Kürşat Yalçiner & Murat Topcu, 2022. "BİST İmalat Sanayi Şirketleri Dolarizasyon Eğiliminin İşletme Finansman Politikaları Üzerine Etkileri," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 7(2), pages 500-526.
    2. Ashis Kumar Pradhan & Gourishankar S. Hiremath, 2021. "Effects of foreign currency debt on investment of the firms in emerging economy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 4993-5004, October.
    3. Deniz Güvercin, 2020. "Boundaries on Turkish export-oriented industrialization," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
    4. Nicoleta Bărbuță-Mișu & Tuna Can Güleç & Selim Duramaz & Florina Oana Virlanuta, 2020. "Determinants of Dollarization of Savings in the Turkish Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-16, July.

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