A Multisectoral Cofeature Analysis of Fluctuations in the Turkish Economy
AbstractWhile there are numerous empirical studies on business cycles for developed economies, there are very few analyses regarding developing countries. The purpose of this paper is to document the comovement among sectoral outputs in Turkey, a developing country, and provide evidence about the importance of real factors to explain fluctuations. Specifically, we ask whether business activity in Turkey is generated by a few forces and whether there are differences in the shape, duration, and amplitude of cycles of individual sectors. Furthermore, we examine the relative importance of permanent and transitory innovations. Using sectoral data for fifty years, and employing cointegration and cofeature analysis, we find evidence in favor of strong comovement of sectors in the Turkish economy. Nonetheless, the evidence that almost all variation in total innovations in all sectors could be attributable to permanent innovations implies that the sources of the fluctuations could be real factors. The findings about the procyclicality and amplitudes of transitory components, as well as about the relative importance of permanent innovations, is unlike the evidence reported for advanced economies in earlier research.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by M.E. Sharpe, Inc. in its journal Emerging Markets Finance and Trade.
Volume (Year): 40 (2004)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=journal&id=111024
business cycles; comovement; persistence; sectoral cycles;
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Dibooglu, Sel & AlGudhea, Salim N., 2007. "All time cheaters versus cheaters in distress: An examination of cheating and oil prices in OPEC," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 292-310, September.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Chris Nguyen).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.