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Modeling Inflation in Poland: A Structural Cointegration Approach

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Author Info
Byung-Yeon Kim

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Abstract

This paper uses cointegration and error-correction models to analyze the relative effects of the monetary, labor, and external sectors on Polish inflation from 1990 to 1999. We use a structural system approach in which cointegration relations are used to derive deviations from steady-state levels. The results suggest that the labor and external sectors dominated the determination of Polish inflation during the above period, but their effects on inflation changed in the mid-1990s. During the period 1995-99, the appreciation of the domestic currency contributed to reducing inflation, whereas excessive wage increases prevented inflation from decreasing to a lower level.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by M.E. Sharpe, Inc. in its journal Eastern European Economics.

Volume (Year): 46 (2008)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Pages: 60-69
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Handle: RePEc:mes:eaeuec:v:46:y:2008:i:6:p:60-69

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Web page: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=journal&id=106044

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