Covered Interest Rate Arbitrage in the Interwar Period and the Keynes-Einzig Conjecture
AbstractIn the Tract on Monetary Reform, Keynes (1923) conjectured that deviations from covered interest rate parity would not be arbitraged unless a profit of at least a half of one percent on an annualized basis was available, and that larger deviations would still be moderately persistent because of less than perfect elasticity of supply of arbitrage fluids. This two-part conjecture was given further emphasis by other writers on this period, notably Einzig (1937). We apply nonlinear econometric techniques to a previously unexploited weekly data base for the 1920s London and New York markets and find strong support for the conjecture.
Download InfoTo our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
Volume (Year): 34 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
This item has more than 25 citations. To prevent cluttering this page, these citations are listed on a separate page. reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.