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An Evaluation of Alternative Monetary Policy Rules in a Model with Capacity Constraints

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Author Info

  • Clark, Peter
  • Laxton, Douglas
  • Rose, David

Abstract

A small model of the U.S. output-inflation nexus is used to examine the implications of two policy rules, one where the interest rate responds to contemporaneous inflation and one where the response is to predict future inflation. The model is asymmetric in that positive deviations of aggregate demand from potential are more inflationary than negative deviations are disinflationary. With asymmetry, following a myopic rule and allowing the economy to overheat requires deep or protracted recessions to control inflation, whereas following a forward-looking rule not only reduces volatility but also raises the equilibrium level of output.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 33 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 42-64

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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:42-64

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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Cited by:
  1. Tamim Bayoumi & Silvia Sgherri, 2004. "Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Flexibility of the U.S. Economy," IMF Working Papers 04/24, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Sarah Marit Lein & Eva Köberl, 2009. "Capacity Utilisation, Constraintes and Price Adjustments under the Microscope," Working Papers 2009-06, Swiss National Bank.
  3. Silvia Sgherri & Tamim Bayoumi, 2004. "Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Supply Side of the Economy," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 20, Econometric Society.
  4. Max Gillman & Mark N Harris & Michal Kejak, 2007. "The Interaction of Inflation and Financial Development with Endogenous Growth," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 29, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  5. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & Bayraktar, Nihal, 2003. "Contracting models of the Phillips curve - empirical estimates for Middle-income countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3139, The World Bank.
  6. Lawrence J. Christiano & Christopher J. Gust, 1999. "Taylor rules in a limited participation model," Working Paper Series WP-99-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  7. Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2002. "Monetary Policy Functions and Transmission Mechanisms: An Overview," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series (ed.), Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 1, pages 001-020 Central Bank of Chile.
  8. NGUENA, Christian L., 2012. "Objectif de Lutte contre l’Inflation et Croissance Economique en Afrique: la Nécessité d’une Alternative
    [Fighting against Inflation and economic growth in Africa: A necessity of alternative]
    ," MPRA Paper 49416, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Apr 2013.
  9. Heiner Mikosch, 2012. "Sticky Prices, Competition and the Phillips Curve," KOF Working papers 11-294, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
  10. NGUENA, Christian L., 2012. "Objectif de Stabilité des Prix et Croissance Economique en Zone CEMAC: Une Approche en Données de Panel
    [Price Stability Objectives and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Econometrics Empirical Invest
    ," MPRA Paper 49412, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Feb 2013.
  11. al-Nowaihi, Ali & Stracca, Livio, 2002. "Non-standard central bank loss functions, skewed risks, and certainty equivalence," Working Paper Series 0129, European Central Bank.
  12. Alvarez-Lois, Pedro P., 2004. "Capacity constraints, idiosyncratic demand uncertainty and the dynamics of inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 15-21, April.

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