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State-Contingent Inflation Contracts and Unemployment Persistence

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Author Info
Lockwood, Ben

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Abstract

This paper shows that, if unemployment (or some other real variable) follows a dynamic autoregressive process, the government can still achieve its precommitment outcome in monetary policy by offering the central banker a linear inflation contract, where the penalty for incremental inflation depends positively on lagged unemployment. This note, therefore, offers an extension of recent results of C. Walsh (1995) to the case of persistence in real economic variables such as output or unemployment. Copyright 1997 by Ohio State University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 29 (1997)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 286-99
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:286-99

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. Florin Ovidiu BILBIIE, 2001. "Inflation Contracts, Targets and Strategic Incentives for Delegation in International Monetary Policy Games," Economics Working Papers ECO2001/16, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
  2. Richard Mash, 2000. "The Time Inconsistency of Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence," Economics Series Working Papers 015, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Anssi Rantala, 2004. "Adaptive learning and multiple equilibria in a natural rate monetary model with unemployment persistence," GE, Growth, Math methods 0404005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Roel M. W. J. Beetsma & Henrik Jensen, 1999. "Optimal Inflation Targets, "Conservative" Central Banks, and Linear Inflation Contracts: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(1), pages 342-347, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Gersbach, Hans & Liessem, Verena, 2005. "Re-election Threshold Contracts in Politics," CEPR Discussion Papers 5175, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Diana N. Weymark, 2000. "Inflation, Income Redistribution, and Optimal Central Bank Independence," Working Papers 0102, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, revised Mar 2002. [Downloadable!]
  7. Eric Le Borgne & Gauti B. Eggertsson, 2003. "A Political Agency Theory of Central Bank Independence," IMF Working Papers 03/144, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Castrén, Olli & Takalo , Tuomas & Wood , Geoffrey, 2004. "Labour market reform and the sustainability of exchange rate pegs," Research Discussion Papers 22/2004, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Edward Kutsoati, 2000. "Debt-Contingent Inflation Contracts and Targeting," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0009, Department of Economics, Tufts University. [Downloadable!]
  10. Diana N. Weymark, 2005. "Inflation, Government Transfers, and Optimal Central Bank Independence," Working Papers 0502, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University. [Downloadable!]
  11. Florin Bilbiie, 2005. "Deus ex machina wanted: time inconsistency of time consistency solutions in monetary policy," Economics Papers 2005-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  12. Hans Gersbach, 2001. "Competition of Politicians for Incentive Contracts and Elections," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Rantala, Anssi, 2003. "Adaptive learning and multiple equilibria in a natural rate monetary model with unemployment persistence," Research Discussion Papers 30/2003, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
  14. Richard Mash, 2002. "Monetary Policy with an Endogenous Capital Stock when Inflation is Persistent," Economics Series Working Papers 108, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. Leitemo,K., 1999. "Inflation targeting strategies in small open economies," Memorandum 21/1999, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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