IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/lrc/larijb/v2y2012i7p132-138.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Intervention analysis of serious crimes in the eastern region of Ghana

Author

Listed:
  • K. F. Darkwah

    (Department of Mathematics,Kwame Nkrumah University of Science & Technology,Kumasi, Ghana)

  • G. A. Okyere

    (Department of Mathematics,Kwame Nkrumah University of Science & Technology,Kumasi, Ghana)

  • Agyemang Boakye

    (Department of Mathematics,Kwame Nkrumah University of Science & Technology,Kumasi, Ghana)

Abstract

This research was done within the framework of intervention time series analysis to assess the nature and impact of the establishment and operations of community policing in communities in Ghana. In line with this objective, a secondary data made up of monthly serious crimes from 2000 to 2011 were obtained from Regional Criminal Investigations Department (CID), Eastern Regional Command of Ghana Police Service.An autoregressive integrated moving average, (ARIMA (1,1,0)) models were constructed to analyse the pre and post intervention of serious crimes respectively. Based on the ARIMA(1,1,0) model for the pre-intervention series, a full intervention model was obtained.The intervention strategy was found to have reduced serious crime by 16 cases per month. The reduction was abrupt but temporal and statistically significant at 5% level. However, the statistically insignificant rate of decay () of 0.0369 at 5% level resulted in the temporal effect of the intervention. The overall intervention model is found to be statistically significant at 5% level.

Suggested Citation

  • K. F. Darkwah & G. A. Okyere & Agyemang Boakye, 2012. "Intervention analysis of serious crimes in the eastern region of Ghana," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 2(7), pages 132-138, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:lrc:larijb:v:2:y:2012:i:7:p:132-138
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://thejournalofbusiness.org/index.php/site/article/view/125/124
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Appiahene-Gyamfi, Joseph, 1998. "Violent crime in ghana: The case of robbery," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 409-424, September.
    2. Appiahene-Gyamfi, Joseph, 2002. "An analyses of the broad crime trends and patterns in Ghana," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 229-243.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Appiahene-Gyamfi, Joseph, 2003. "Urban crime trends and patterns in Ghana: The case of Accra," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 13-23.
    2. K. F. Darkwah & G. A. Okyere & Agyemang Boakye, 2012. "Intervention analysis of serious crimes in the eastern region of Ghana," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 2(7), pages 132-138, December.
    3. Franklin Obeng-Odoom, 2011. "The Informal Sector in Ghana under Siege," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 27(3-4), pages 355-392, September.
    4. Adinkrah, Mensah, 2005. "Vigilante homicides in contemporary Ghana," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 413-427.
    5. Appiahene-Gyamfi, Joseph, 2002. "An analyses of the broad crime trends and patterns in Ghana," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 229-243.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:lrc:larijb:v:2:y:2012:i:7:p:132-138. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Al Hossain (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.thejournalofbusiness.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.