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The Impact of ASEAN’s Intra Trade to FDI Inflows from Non-Member States : The Cases of Indonesia, Malaysia & Thailand 1987-2006

Author

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  • Kiki Verico

    (Institute for Economic and Social Research,Faculty of Economics University of Indonesia (LPEM-FEUI), Indonesia)

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamics of the Indonesian government’s debt during the period of 1988-2001, its estimation and the impact on the government budget until 2007, by using the Branson model and the Present Value Constraint for the budget.Based on the evaluation, it can be concluded that after the crisis in 1997-1998, public debt movements tended to be explosive and, consequently, caused the budget condition to be relatively unsustainable. The discussion also concludes that at least for the medium-term, there should be a serious effort to reduce the budget deficit to achieve a sustainable fiscal condition. Even though the analysis covers only the period up to 2007, some lessons to be learned and strategic steps for the future are presented, both for the revenues and expenditures side.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiki Verico, 2007. "The Impact of ASEAN’s Intra Trade to FDI Inflows from Non-Member States : The Cases of Indonesia, Malaysia & Thailand 1987-2006," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 55, pages 253-281, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:lpe:efijnl:200713
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    File URL: http://www.lpem.org/repec/lpe/efijnl/200713.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Albert Hasudungan & Andrey Hasiholan Pulungan, 2021. "An Analysis of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism of M&A, Greenfield FDI, Domestic Investment, and GDP Per Capita Growth: The Structural Vector Correction Model in Indonesia," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 14(2), pages 29-42, September.
    2. Kiki Verico & Yeremia Natanael, 2018. "Let’s talk about the Free Trade Agreement (FTA): The five ASEAN members highlighting Indonesia," LPEM FEBUI Working Papers 201823, LPEM, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, revised Jul 2018.
    3. Verico, Kiki, 2012. "The Impact of Intra Regional Trade Agreement on FDI Inflows in Southeast Asia: Case of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand," MPRA Paper 42087, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Oct 2012.
    4. Verico, Kiki & Natanael, Yeremia, 2018. "Let’s talk about the Free Trade Agreement (FTA): The five ASEAN members highlighting Indonesia," MPRA Paper 87947, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Verico, Kiki, 2013. "The Economic Integration of ASEAN+3," MPRA Paper 43801, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade; Economic Integration; FDI; AFTA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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