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La ventaja del oficialismo en las elecciones municipales de la Provincia de Buenos Aires

Author

Listed:
  • Matías Battocchio

    (UBA y UNLP)

Abstract

This paper tests for an incumbency advantage in the municipal mayoral elections in the province of Buenos Aires between 1983 and 2015 by making use of a regression discontinuity design, for the two major parties: the Partido Justicialista and the Union Civica Radical. The results suggest that the UCR enjoyed an incumbency advantage in the order of a 20 percentage point increase in the probability of winning the next election, while for the PJ this estimate is smaller and non statistically significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Matías Battocchio, 2018. "La ventaja del oficialismo en las elecciones municipales de la Provincia de Buenos Aires," Económica, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 64, pages 133-171, January-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:lap:journl:616
    as

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    File URL: https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/Economica/article/view/6136/5551
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Incumbency advantage; Regression discontinuity design; Buenos Aires politics.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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