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Was treibt den (Miss-)Erfolg von Schuldenbremsen?

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Müller
  • Mélissa Pointet
  • Marianne Iskandar

Abstract

During the past two decades, the Swiss cantons and the federation have reduced their fiscal deficits and partly also their debts. Very often, the introduction of so-called «debt brakes» is held responsible for this development. However, the various debt brakes vary considerably which raises the question as to what makes these fiscal rules actually effective. In order to shed light on this question, the economics literature usually quantifies the specific rules according to their «strength» and then shows that «strength» of rules and fiscal discipline are associated. Our contribution argues that the standard in the literature is flawed and leads to meaningless interpretations. Based on two alternative methods, we demonstrate that the fiscal rules can be very flexible without impairing their overarching goals. Therefore, more attention should be paid as to why legislative and executive branches of the government do actually obey these rules although they could find ways around them.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Müller & Mélissa Pointet & Marianne Iskandar, 2017. "Was treibt den (Miss-)Erfolg von Schuldenbremsen?," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(4), pages 33-49, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:kof:anskof:v:11:y:2017:i:4:p:33-49
    DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal rules; debt brake; indexation; quantification; panel data analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • K15 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - Civil Law; Common Law
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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