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The Relationship between REITs Returns and Inflation: A Vector Error Correction Approach

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  • Lu, Chiuling
  • So, Raymond W

Abstract

Previous studies show that REITs returns and inflation are negatively related. This paper reexamines this perverse inflation hedge phenomenon by investigating the relationship among REITs returns, real activities, monetary policy and inflation through a Vector Error Correction Model. Empirical results show that inflation does not Granger-cause REITs returns and that REITs returns signal changes in monetary policy. The observed negative relationship between REITs returns and inflation is merely a proxy for the more fundamental relationship between REITs returns and other macroeconomic variables. Copyright 2001 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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  • Lu, Chiuling & So, Raymond W, 2001. "The Relationship between REITs Returns and Inflation: A Vector Error Correction Approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 103-115, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:16:y:2001:i:2:p:103-15
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. William Goetzmann & Eduardas Valaitis, 2006. "Simulating Real Estate in the Investment Portfolio: Model Uncertainty and Inflation Hedging," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2476, Yale School of Management, revised 01 May 2006.
    2. Daniel Ibrahim Dabara & Job Taiwo Gbadegesin & Abdul-Rasheed Amidu & Tunbosun Biodun Oyedokun & Augustina Chiwuzie, 2021. "Do REITs Hedge against Inflation? Evidence from an African Emerging Market," AfRES 2021-033, African Real Estate Society (AfRES).
    3. Wendi Zhang & Bin Li & Alan Wee-Chung Liew & Eduardo Roca & Tarlok Singh, 2023. "Predicting the returns of the US real estate investment trust market: evidence from the group method of data handling neural network," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-33, December.
    4. Das, Mahamitra & Sarkar, Nityananda, 2019. "Revisiting the Anomalous Relationship between Inflation and REIT Returns in Presence of Structural Breaks: Empirical Evidence from the USA and the UK," MPRA Paper 95130, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Nov 2019.
    5. Daniel Wurstbauer & Wolfgang Schäfers, 2015. "Inflation hedging and protection characteristics of infrastructure and real estate assets," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 33(1), pages 19-44, February.
    6. Roland Füss & Denis Schweizer, 2012. "Short and long-term interactions between venture capital returns and the macroeconomy: evidence for the United States," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 391-410, April.
    7. Parvinder Arora & Robert Killins & Prameela Gangineni, 2019. "REIT-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants of REIT Returns: Evidence from Singapore," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 8(3), pages 1-27, August.
    8. Wen‐Shwo Fang & Kuan‐Min Wang & Thanh‐Binh T. Nguyen, 2008. "Is Real Estate Really an Inflation Hedge? Evidence from Taiwan," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 22(2), pages 209-224, June.
    9. Kuan-Min, Wang & Yuan-Ming, Lee & T.T.Binh, Nguyen, 2008. "Asymmetric Inflation Hedge of Housing Return: A Non-linear Vector Error Correction Approach," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 11(1), pages 65-82.
    10. Hideki Nishigaki, 2007. "An analysis of the relationship between US REIT returns," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 13(1), pages 1-7.
    11. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Bahmani, Sahar, 2015. "Causal nexus between economic growth, inflation, and stock market development: The case of OECD countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 98-111.
    12. Chu, Patrick Kuok-Kun, 2011. "Relationship between macroeconomic variables and net asset values (NAV) of equity funds: Cointegration evidence and vector error correction model of the Hong Kong Mandatory Provident Funds (MPFs)," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 792-810.
    13. T. Thanh-Binh Nguyen & Kuan-Min Wang, 2010. "Causality between housing returns, inflation and economic growth with endogenous breaks," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 95-115.
    14. Kim, J.W. & Leatham, D.J. & Bessler, D.A., 2007. "REITs' dynamics under structural change with unknown break points," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 37-58, March.

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