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Hope: An Empirical Study of Attitude toward the Timing of Uncertainty Resolution

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Author Info
Chew, Soo Hong
Ho, Joanna L
Abstract

Hope is experienced when there is enjoyment in delaying the resolution of uncertainty. The main objective of this article is to identify the phenomenon of hope. In addition, we empirically test several axiomatic theories of temporal preferences which have implications for attitudes toward the timing of uncertainty resolution. Overall, the data support the extension of recursive expected utility specification to incorporate a weighted utility model of attitude toward future uncertainty. We find that the instances where hopefulness are more prevalent tend to be associated with a small probability of occurrence of a large gain. Interestingly, the degree of hopefulness is not correlated with risk attitude. Copyright 1994 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Risk and Uncertainty.

Volume (Year): 8 (1994)
Issue (Month): 3 (May)
Pages: 267-88
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Handle: RePEc:kap:jrisku:v:8:y:1994:i:3:p:267-88

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  1. Simon Grant & Atsushi Kajii & Ben Polak, 1996. "Preference for Information," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1114, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Juan Dubra & Federico Echenique, 2001. "Monotone Preferences over Information," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 0(1). [Downloadable!]
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  3. Hopfensitz, Astrid & Krawczyk, Michal & van Winden, Frans A.A.M., 2008. "Investment, Resolution of Risk, and the Role of Affect," CEPR Discussion Papers 6822, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Ali Lazrak, 2005. "Generalized stochastic differential utility and preference for information," Quantitative Finance Papers math/0503579, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  5. Lisa Anderson & Sarah Stafford, 2009. "Individual decision-making experiments with risk and intertemporal choice," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 51-72, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Selçuk Onay & Ayse Öncüler, 2007. "Intertemporal choice under timing risk: An experimental approach," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 99-121, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Hoel, Michael & Iversen, Tor & Nilssen, Tore & Vislie, Jon, 2003. "Genetic testing and repulsion from chance," Memorandum 20/2003, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Astrid Hopfensitz & Frans Winden, 2008. "Dynamic Choice, Independence and Emotions," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 249-300, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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