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Risk, Ambiguity, and Insurance

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Author Info
Hogarth, Robin M
Kunreuther, Howard
Abstract

In a series of experiments, economically sophisticated subjects, including professional actuaries, priced insurance both as consumers and as firms under conditions of ambiguity. Findings support implications of the Einhorn-Hogarth ambiguity model: (1) for low probability-of-loss events, prices of both consumers and firms indicated aversion to ambiguity; (2) as probabilities of losses increased, aversion to ambiguity decreased, with consumers exhibiting ambiguity preference for high probability-of-loss events; and (3) firms showed greater aversion to ambiguity than consumers. The results are shown to be incompatible with traditional economic analysis of insurance markets and are discussed with respect to the effects of ambiguity on the supply and demand for insurance. Copyright 1989 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Risk and Uncertainty.

Volume (Year): 2 (1989)
Issue (Month): 1 (April)
Pages: 5-35
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Handle: RePEc:kap:jrisku:v:2:y:1989:i:1:p:5-35

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  1. Fredrik Andersson, 1999. "Uncertainty aversion in a simple insurance model," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Society for Economic Research, vol. 12(1), pages 16-27, Spring. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ozlem Ozdemir, 2007. "Valuation of Self-Insurance and Self-Protection under Ambiguity: Experimental Evidence," Jena Economic Research Papers in Economics 2007-034, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Max-Planck-Institute of Economics, Thueringer Universitaets- und Landesbibliothek. [Downloadable!]
  3. Matthew Ryan & Rhema Vaithianathan, 2003. "Adverse Selection and Insurance Contracting: A Rank-Dependent Utility Analysis," Contributions to Theoretical Economics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 3(1), pages 1074-1074. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Howard Kunreuther, 2006. "Reflections on U.S. Disaster Insurance Policy for the 21st Century," NBER Working Papers 12449, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Mark Machina, 2002. "Robustifying the Classical Model of Risk Preferences and Beliefs," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2002-06, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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