IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jgeosy/v15y2013i2p115-147.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Detection of crossover time scales in multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Erjia Ge
  • Yee Leung

Abstract

Fractal is employed in this paper as a scale-based method for the identification of the scaling behavior of time series. Many spatial and temporal processes exhibiting complex multi(mono)-scaling behaviors are fractals. One of the important concepts in fractals is crossover time scale(s) that separates distinct regimes having different fractal scaling behaviors. A common method is multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The detection of crossover time scale(s) is, however, relatively subjective since it has been made without rigorous statistical procedures and has generally been determined by eye balling or subjective observation. Crossover time scales such determined may be spurious and problematic. It may not reflect the genuine underlying scaling behavior of a time series. The purpose of this paper is to propose a statistical procedure to model complex fractal scaling behaviors and reliably identify the crossover time scales under MF-DFA. The scaling-identification regression model, grounded on a solid statistical foundation, is first proposed to describe multi-scaling behaviors of fractals. Through the regression analysis and statistical inference, we can (1) identify the crossover time scales that cannot be detected by eye-balling observation, (2) determine the number and locations of the genuine crossover time scales, (3) give confidence intervals for the crossover time scales, and (4) establish the statistically significant regression model depicting the underlying scaling behavior of a time series. To substantive our argument, the regression model is applied to analyze the multi-scaling behaviors of avian-influenza outbreaks, water consumption, daily mean temperature, and rainfall of Hong Kong. Through the proposed model, we can have a deeper understanding of fractals in general and a statistical approach to identify multi-scaling behavior under MF-DFA in particular. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Erjia Ge & Yee Leung, 2013. "Detection of crossover time scales in multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 115-147, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jgeosy:v:15:y:2013:i:2:p:115-147
    DOI: 10.1007/s10109-012-0169-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10109-012-0169-9
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10109-012-0169-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Alvarez, Jesus & Dagdug, Leonardo & Rodriguez, Eduardo & Carlos Echeverria, Juan, 2008. "Long-term memory dynamics of continental and oceanic monthly temperatures in the recent 125 years," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(14), pages 3629-3640.
    2. Barsky, Robert B & Miron, Jeffrey A, 1989. "The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(3), pages 503-534, June.
    3. Ram C. Tiwari & Kathleen A. Cronin & William Davis & Eric J. Feuer & Binbing Yu & Siddhartha Chib, 2005. "Bayesian model selection for join point regression with application to age‐adjusted cancer rates," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(5), pages 919-939, November.
    4. P. M. Lerman, 1980. "Fitting Segmented Regression Models by Grid Search," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 29(1), pages 77-84, March.
    5. Oświe¸cimka, P. & Kwapień, J. & Drożdż, S., 2005. "Multifractality in the stock market: price increments versus waiting times," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 347(C), pages 626-638.
    6. Hyune-Ju Kim & Michael P. Fay & Binbing Yu & Michael J. Barrett & Eric J. Feuer, 2004. "Comparability of Segmented Line Regression Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 60(4), pages 1005-1014, December.
    7. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    8. R Wallace, 1993. "A Fractal Model of HIV Transmission on Complex Sociogeographic Networks: Towards Analysis of Large Data Sets," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 25(1), pages 137-148, January.
    9. M Batty & P Longley & S Fotheringham, 1989. "Urban Growth and Form: Scaling, Fractal Geometry, and Diffusion-Limited Aggregation," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 21(11), pages 1447-1472, November.
    10. Yu, Binbing & Barrett, Michael J. & Kim, Hyune-Ju & Feuer, Eric J., 2007. "Estimating joinpoints in continuous time scale for multiple change-point models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 2420-2427, February.
    11. Du, Guoxiong & Ning, Xuanxi, 2008. "Multifractal properties of Chinese stock market in Shanghai," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(1), pages 261-269.
    12. Sadegh Movahed, M. & Hermanis, Evalds, 2008. "Fractal analysis of river flow fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(4), pages 915-932.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Echeverria, J.C. & Rodriguez, E. & Aguilar-Cornejo, M. & Alvarez-Ramirez, J., 2016. "Linear combination of power-law functions for detecting multiscaling using detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 460(C), pages 283-293.
    2. Gulich, Damián & Zunino, Luciano, 2014. "A criterion for the determination of optimal scaling ranges in DFA and MF-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 397(C), pages 17-30.
    3. Correia, J.P. & de Lima, M.M.F. & Silva, R. & Anselmo, D.H.A.L. & Vasconcelos, M.S. & Viswanathan, G.M., 2023. "Multifractal analysis of coronavirus sequences," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    4. Morales Martínez, Jorge Luis & Segovia-Domínguez, Ignacio & Rodríguez, Israel Quiros & Horta-Rangel, Francisco Antonio & Sosa-Gómez, Guillermo, 2021. "A modified Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) approach for multifractal analysis of precipitation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    5. Schadner, Wolfgang, 2021. "On the persistence of market sentiment: A multifractal fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Shu-Peng & He, Ling-Yun, 2010. "Multifractal spectrum analysis of nonlinear dynamical mechanisms in China’s agricultural futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(7), pages 1434-1444.
    2. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Multifractal analysis of Chinese stock volatilities based on the partition function approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(19), pages 4881-4888.
    3. Jia, Zhanliang & Cui, Meilan & Li, Handong, 2012. "Research on the relationship between the multifractality and long memory of realized volatility in the SSECI," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(3), pages 740-749.
    4. Matúš Maciak & Ivan Mizera, 2016. "Regularization techniques in joinpoint regression," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 939-955, December.
    5. He, Ling-Yun & Chen, Shu-Peng, 2010. "Are developed and emerging agricultural futures markets multifractal? A comparative perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(18), pages 3828-3836.
    6. Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2012. "Finite-size effect and the components of multifractality in financial volatility," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 147-155.
    7. Yu, Binbing & Barrett, Michael J. & Kim, Hyune-Ju & Feuer, Eric J., 2007. "Estimating joinpoints in continuous time scale for multiple change-point models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 2420-2427, February.
    8. Pavón-Domínguez, P. & Serrano, S. & Jiménez-Hornero, F.J. & Jiménez-Hornero, J.E. & Gutiérrez de Ravé, E. & Ariza-Villaverde, A.B., 2013. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of sheep livestock prices in origin," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(19), pages 4466-4476.
    9. Zhou, Weijie & Dang, Yaoguo & Gu, Rongbao, 2013. "Efficiency and multifractality analysis of CSI 300 based on multifractal detrending moving average algorithm," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(6), pages 1429-1438.
    10. Stavroyiannis, S. & Makris, I. & Nikolaidis, V., 2010. "Non-extensive properties, multifractality, and inefficiency degree of the Athens Stock Exchange General Index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 19-24, January.
    11. Sun, Limei & Xiang, Meiqi & Shen, Qing, 2020. "A comparative study on the volatility of EU and China’s carbon emission permits trading markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).
    12. El Alaoui, Marwane & Benbachir, Saâd, 2013. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis in the MENA area," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5985-5993.
    13. Li, Xing, 2021. "On the multifractal analysis of air quality index time series before and during COVID-19 partial lockdown: A case study of Shanghai, China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    14. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Gu, Rongbao, 2009. "Analysis of efficiency for Shenzhen stock market based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 271-276, December.
    15. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Samanta, Shukla, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of gold price and SENSEX," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 195-204.
    16. Zhongjun Wang & Mengye Sun & A. M. Elsawah, 2020. "Improving MF-DFA model with applications in precious metals market," Papers 2006.15214, arXiv.org.
    17. Maciel, Leandro, 2021. "A new approach to portfolio management in the Brazilian equity market: Does assets efficiency level improve performance?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 38-56.
    18. Onali, Enrico & Goddard, John, 2009. "Unifractality and multifractality in the Italian stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 154-163, September.
    19. Lee, Hojin & Chang, Woojin, 2015. "Multifractal regime detecting method for financial time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 117-129.
    20. Hasan, Rashid & Mohammad, Salim M., 2015. "Multifractal analysis of Asian markets during 2007–2008 financial crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 746-761.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jgeosy:v:15:y:2013:i:2:p:115-147. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.