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Do guns cause crime? Does crime cause guns? A granger test

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  • Lawrence Southwick

Abstract

Sixteen time series measures of crime and deaths from guns are used along with 16 measures of sales and stocks of guns in the U.S. to test for causality using Granger Causality tests. Both per capita and link-relative measures are used. The results indicate that suicide appears to result from the presence of guns and gun accidents are reduced by familiarity with guns but generally neither murder nor other crimes are affected. It appears that more causal relationships are from crimes to gun ownership than from gun ownership to crimes. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 1997

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  • Lawrence Southwick, 1997. "Do guns cause crime? Does crime cause guns? A granger test," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 25(3), pages 256-273, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:atlecj:v:25:y:1997:i:3:p:256-273
    DOI: 10.1007/BF02298408
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    Cited by:

    1. Kleck, Gary, 2015. "The Impact of Gun Ownership Rates on Crime Rates: A Methodological Review of the Evidence," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 40-48.
    2. Carlisle E. Moody, 2010. "Firearms and Homicide," Chapters, in: Bruce L. Benson & Paul R. Zimmerman (ed.), Handbook on the Economics of Crime, chapter 17, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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