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Between war and peace: a dynamic reconceptualization of “frozen conflicts”

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  • Michal Smetana

    (Charles University)

  • Jan Ludvík

    (Charles University
    Charles University)

Abstract

Frozen conflicts, situations in which war ended yet stable peace did not materialize, trouble both Asia and Europe. Despite the clear policy relevance of this problem, the notion of frozen conflicts remains surprisingly blurred in peace and conflict studies literature. In this paper, we seek to provide a rigorous conceptualization of frozen conflicts. We situate frozen conflicts into a broader debate about enduring rivalries in international politics and demonstrate the theoretical relevance of the term vis-à-vis existing concepts. Furthermore, we outline a theoretical model of frozen conflict dynamics, which portrays frozen conflicts as dynamic configurations undergoing a periodical “thawing” in relations between the opposing sides: either toward diplomatic negotiations (“peaceful thawing”) or re-escalation toward use of armed force (“violent thawing”). We illustrate the usefulness of our model with empirical observations from other articles in this special issue and conclude with possible avenues for further research.

Suggested Citation

  • Michal Smetana & Jan Ludvík, 2019. "Between war and peace: a dynamic reconceptualization of “frozen conflicts”," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 1-14, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:asiaeu:v:17:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10308-018-0521-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10308-018-0521-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael Colaresi & William R. Thompson, 2002. "Strategic Rivalries, Protracted Conflict, and Crisis Escalation," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 39(3), pages 263-287, May.
    2. James P. Klein & Gary Goertz & Paul F. Diehl, 2006. "The New Rivalry Dataset: Procedures and Patterns," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 43(3), pages 331-348, May.
    3. Cory Welt, 2010. "The Thawing of a Frozen Conflict: The Internal Security Dilemma and the 2004 Prelude to the Russo-Georgian War," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 62(1), pages 63-97.
    4. Pål Kolstø, 2006. "The Sustainability and Future of Unrecognized Quasi-States," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 43(6), pages 723-740, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hadjigeorgiou, Nasia, 2022. "The invisible impact of frozen conflicts: a case study of foreign domestic workers in Cyprus," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115768, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Nasia Hadjigeorgiou, 2022. "The Invisible Impact of Frozen Conflicts: A case study of foreign domestic workers in Cyprus," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 174, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.

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