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Week to Week Attendance and Competitive Balance in the National Football League

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  • Dennis Coates

    ()
    (University of Maryland, Baltimore County)

  • Brad R. Humphreys

    ()
    (University of Alberta)

Abstract

We examine the relationship between game day attendance, uncertainty of outcome, and team and facility quality in the National Football League. Based on results from a reduced form model of game day attendance at 5,495 regular season NFL games from the 1985-2008 seasons, we find weak evidence that attendance increases when fans expect the home team to win by a large margin, and strong evidence that attendance decreases when the home team is expected to lose, contrary to the predictions of the Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Fitness Information Technology in its journal International Journal of Sport Finance.

Volume (Year): 5 (2010)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 239-252

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Handle: RePEc:jsf:intjsf:v:5:y:2010:i:4:p:239-252

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Related research

Keywords: attendance; competitive balance; NFL; uncertainty of outcome;

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Cited by:
  1. Pawlowski, Tim & Budzinski, Oliver, 2014. "Competitive balance and attention level effects: Theoretical considerations and preliminary evidence," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 84, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
  2. Dennis Coates & Brad R. Humphreys, 2011. "Game Attendance and Competitive Balance in the National Hockey League," UMBC Economics Department Working Papers 11-130, UMBC Department of Economics.
  3. Sung Il Hong & Michael Mondello & Dennis Coates, 2011. "An Examination of the Effects of the Recent Economic Crisis on Major League Baseball (MLB) Attendance Demand," Working Papers, International Association of Sports Economists;North American Association of Sports Economists 1123, International Association of Sports Economists;North American Association of Sports Economists.
  4. Coates, Dennis & Humphreys, Brad & Zhou, Li, 2012. "Outcome Uncertainty, Reference-Dependent Preferences and Live Game Attendance," Working Papers 2012-7, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.

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