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Der Geburteneinbruch in den neuen Bundesländern seit 1990 und einige Hypothesen zu seiner Erklärung / The Fertility Breakdown in East Germany Since 1990 and Some Hypotheses for its Explanation

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  • Schaich Eberhard

    (Eberhard-Karls-Universität Tübingen, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, Abteilung Statistik, Ökonometrie und Unternehmensforschung, Mohlstraße 36, D-72074 Tübingen.)

Abstract

Since 1990 a dramatic fertility decline took place in the former GDR. It caused a reproduction level of not more than 37 % in 1994. Pessimistic auspices for social security, new opportunities of high quality consumption and a quick adaptation of Western fertility patterns by East Germany’s population are the main reasons assigned to this process. There exist also ideas that the adaptation hypothesis is the only relevant one. In this paper arguments are developed why a precise adaptation of West Germany’s fertility level and pattern by the population of the former GDR is not at all certain. Fertility in the new Bundesländer may continue for a longer time to be much lower than in former West Germany.

Suggested Citation

  • Schaich Eberhard, 1998. "Der Geburteneinbruch in den neuen Bundesländern seit 1990 und einige Hypothesen zu seiner Erklärung / The Fertility Breakdown in East Germany Since 1990 and Some Hypotheses for its Explanation," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 217(1), pages 93-107, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:217:y:1998:i:1:p:93-107
    DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-1998-0111
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