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Economics, geography, family planning and rapidity of change in the demographic transition: the case of the Egyptian muhafazas 1960-1996

Author

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  • Bonneuil, Noël.
  • Dassouki, Chouaa.

    (Institut national d’études démographiques and Ecole des hautes études en sciences sociales, France
    Ecole des hautes études en sciences sociales, France)

Abstract

The Egyptian demographic transition from 1960 to 1996 is analyzed at the Muhafaza level. A reconstruction of demographic patterns highlights variation in the under-recording of infants across time, space, and rural/urban status. The quality of registration is worse for girls, producing an abnormal sex ratio that also varies across space and time. The analysis of fertility shows that the fertility upsurge of 1974-85 was not spatially uniform. Multi-level regression shows that fertility fluctuations are associated with the distribution of women's time between work and family, women's education, mortality decline, population density, and men's migration. After accounting for these variables and family planning, there remains a north-south gradient which wanes over the period, and a time factor interpretable as the rapidity of change and responsible for a brief fertility increase during the opening phase of the transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Bonneuil, Noël. & Dassouki, Chouaa., 2007. "Economics, geography, family planning and rapidity of change in the demographic transition: the case of the Egyptian muhafazas 1960-1996," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 40(2), pages 185-210, January-M.
    • Handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.40:year:2007:issue2:pp:185-210
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    Cited by:

    1. Bonneuil, Noël, 2010. "Family regulation as a moving target in the demographic transition," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 239-248, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demographic Transition; Egypt; Gender difference; Quality of registration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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