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Time Aggregation and the Distributional Shape of Unemployment Duration

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Bergstrom, R
Edin, P-A

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Abstract

This paper reports empirical evidence on the sensitivity of unemployment duration regression estimates to distributional assumptions and to time aggregation. The results indicate that parameter estimates are robust to distributional assumptions, while estimates of duration dependence are not. Time aggregation does not seem to have drastic effects on the estimates in a simple parametric model like the Weibull, but can produce dramatic changes in the more complicated extended generalized gamma model. Semiparametric models for grouped data produce stable estimates, and perform much better than continuous-time models in terms of significance at high levels of time aggregation. Copyright 1992 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 7 (1992)
Issue (Month): 1 (Jan.-March)
Pages: 5-30
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:7:y:1992:i:1:p:5-30

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  1. Demetrios Vakratsas & Frank M. Bass, 2002. "A segment-level hazard approach to studying household purchase timing decisions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(1), pages 49-59. [Downloadable!]
  2. Pollmann-Schult, Matthias & Büchel, Felix, 2002. "Ausbildungsinadäquate Erwerbstätigkeit: eine berufliche Sackgasse? : eine Analyse für jüngere Nicht-Akademiker in Westdeutschland (Employment below the level of qualification - an occupational imp," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 35(3), pages 371-384. [Downloadable!]
  3. Roed,K. & Zhang,T., 2000. "A note on the Weibull distribution and time ag gregation bias," Memorandum 23/2000, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. George Neumann, 1996. "Search Models and Duration Data," Econometrics 9602008, EconWPA, revised 07 Mar 1996. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pieter Serneels, 2004. "The Nature of Unemployment in Urban Ethiopia," Development and Comp Systems 0409042, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  6. Heather D Gibson & Euclid Tsakalotos, 2003. "Capital Flows and Speculative Attacks in Prospective EU Member States," Working Papers 06, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Christian N. Brinch, 2008. "Non-parametric Identification of the Mixed Hazards Model with Interval-Censored Durations," Discussion Papers 539, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
  8. Gordon Wilkinson, 1997. "A Micro Approach to the Issue of Hysteresis in Unemployment: Evidence from the 1988­1990 Labour Market Activity Survey," Working Papers 97-12, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  9. George R. Neumann, 1995. "Search Models and Duration Data," Labor and Demography 9511001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  10. René Böheim, 2006. "“I’ll be Back” – Austrian Recalls," Empirica, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 1-18, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. J. Cao, . "Welfare recipiency and welfare recidivism: An analysis of the NLSY data," Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers 1081-96, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty. [Downloadable!]
  12. Andrew P. Dickerson & Heather D. Gibson & Euclid Tsakalotos, 1998. "Takeover Risk and the Market for Corporate Control: The Experience of British Firms in the 1970s and 1980s," Studies in Economics 9803, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
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