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Housing Affordability and Upward Mobility from Public to Private Housing in Singapore

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Abstract

This paper examines the ability of buyers to afford and upgrade to private housing using the experience in land scarce Singapore as a case study. The concepts of the “threshold buyer?and “threshold upgrader?are introduced to construct an operational inter-temporal model of affordability and upward mobility, taking into consideration income, mortgage rates, prices of public housing flats and the legislative/financing framework in Singapore. The theoretical private property price computed by the upward mobility model is the lower bound dictated by affordability and cash outlay considerations such that the buyer/upgrader is no better or worse off arising from changes in the relevant factors over time. The model is empirically tested to evaluate the theoretical underpinnings as well as the ability of the model to predict private property price. Finally, the paper examines the implications for housing ownership policy in a wider context.

Suggested Citation

  • Seow Eng Ong, 2000. "Housing Affordability and Upward Mobility from Public to Private Housing in Singapore," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 3(1), pages 49-64.
    • Handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:03:n:01:2000:p:49-64
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ben-Shahar, Danny & Gabriel, Stuart & Golan, Roni, 2019. "Housing affordability and inequality:A consumption-adjusted approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Gary John Rangel & Jason Wei Jian Ng, 2017. "Macroeconomic Drivers of Singapore Private Residential Prices: A Markov-Switching Approach," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 15-31.
    3. Alberto Montagnoli & Jun Nagaysu, 2013. "An investigation of housing affordability in the UK regions," Working Papers 1316, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
    4. Stefanie Lena Heinzle & Augustin Boey Ying Yip & Melissa Low Yu Xing, 2013. "The Influence of Green Building Certification Schemes on Real Estate Investor Behaviour: Evidence from Singapore," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(10), pages 1970-1987, August.
    5. Poh Har Neo & Nai Jia Lee & Seow Eng Ong, 2003. "Government Policies and Household Mobility Behaviour in Singapore," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(13), pages 2643-2660, December.
    6. Mi Diao & Yi Fan & Tien Foo Sing, 2019. "Demand Restrictions and Asymmetric Risk Behaviors," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(2), pages 131-167.
    7. Lee, Nai Jia & Ong, Seow Eng, 2005. "Upward mobility, house price volatility, and housing equity," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 127-146, June.
    8. Mi Diao & Yi Fan & Tien Foo Sing, 2018. "Demand restrictions; government interventions; resale public housing market; private housing market; housing wealth," ERES eres2018_32, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    9. Poh Har Neo & Seow Eng Ong & Yong Tu, 2008. "Buyer Exuberance and Price Premium," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 45(2), pages 331-345, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing; affordability; upgrade; property price; mortgage rate; income;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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