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Optimal Search of a Moving Target

Author

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  • Y. C. Kan

    (University of California, Berkeley, California)

Abstract

There are n boxes. A target is initially in box i with a given probability p ı , where p ı ≧ 0, ∑ p ı = 1. Then at discrete time t = 1, 2, …, it moves from box to box. If at time t the target is in box i , then it will be in box i with probability p ij at time t + 1, where p ij ≧ 0, ∑ j p ij = 1. A search of box i costs C ı ( c ı > 0) and finds the target with probability α ı if the target is in that box. A sequential search is made. The objective is either to maximize the probability of finding the target in a given number of searches or to minimize the expected searching cost before finding the target. Optimal strategies are characterized for special types of probability matrices [ p ij ] for the n -box model.

Suggested Citation

  • Y. C. Kan, 1977. "Optimal Search of a Moving Target," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 25(5), pages 864-870, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:25:y:1977:i:5:p:864-870
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.25.5.864
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    Cited by:

    1. Stanley J. Benkoski & Michael G. Monticino & James R. Weisinger, 1991. "A survey of the search theory literature," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 469-494, August.
    2. János Flesch & Emin Karagözoǧlu & Andrés Perea, 2009. "Optimal search for a moving target with the option to wait," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(6), pages 526-539, September.

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