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Statistical and Simulation Analysis Assists Santa Clara Valley Water District Planning

Author

Listed:
  • Burton V. Dean

    (Department of Organization and Management, College of Business, San Jose State University, San Jose, California 95192-0070)

  • Roger L. Salstrom

    (Department of Organization and Management, College of Business, San Jose State University, San Jose, California 95192-0070)

  • Jim Fiedler

    (Santa Clara Valley Water District, 5750 Almaden Expressway, San Jose, California 95118-3686)

  • Bill Molnar

    (Santa Clara Valley Water District, 5750 Almaden Expressway, San Jose, California 95118-3686)

  • Kent Haake

    (Santa Clara Valley Water District, 5750 Almaden Expressway, San Jose, California 95118-3686)

Abstract

Using Extend simulation software, we analyzed the Santa Clara County, California water supply. We determined that (1) the drought situation (1987–1992) can be expected to occur two or three times per 100 years, and (2) the supply will frequently not meet current annual demand and will fall far short of projected demand by 2020. We evaluated alternative courses of action. Using our analyses, the Santa Clara Valley Water District (1) negotiated a clause that saved $4 million on water contracts during 1992–1993, (2) evaluated using a storage facility in another California county, and (3) started preliminary engineering and environmental studies on a new reservoir.

Suggested Citation

  • Burton V. Dean & Roger L. Salstrom & Jim Fiedler & Bill Molnar & Kent Haake, 1994. "Statistical and Simulation Analysis Assists Santa Clara Valley Water District Planning," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 24(6), pages 82-99, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:orinte:v:24:y:1994:i:6:p:82-99
    DOI: 10.1287/inte.24.6.82
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