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Bu Böyle Sonsuza Kadar Gidemez,Öyleyse Gitmeyecek

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Author Info

  • Joseph STİGLİTZ

    (Columbia Üniversitesi)

Abstract

Küresel ekonomi tahmincileri iyimser olmak istiyor. Ama bu yıl değil. Her yıl başı, ekonomi tahmincileri için zorlu dönemlerdir. Birkaç istisna ile Wall Street ekonomistleri, verilerin izin verdiği ölçüde bize iyimserlik aşılayacak yorumlar yapmaya çalışır; çünkü karamsar, kasvetli yorumlar borsa satışlarına çok fazla katkı yapmaz. Ama tezgahtarlar bile 2005’te 2004’tekinden daha zayıf bir Amerikan ekonomisi öngörüyor. Dünya çapında en büyük ekonomik belirsizlik petrol fi yatları. Petrol üreticileri Çin’in talebinin ne kadar artacağını tahmin edemiyorlar. George Bush’un Irak’ta yarattığı ve uğradığı felaketin istikrarsızlığı daha da artırdığı bir ortamda, Orta Doğu’daki (ve tabi Nijerya, Rusya ve Venezüella’daki) arz sorunları da bir başka sorun.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Bilgesel Yayincilik in its journal İktisat İşletme ve Finans.

Volume (Year): 20 (2005)
Issue (Month): 227 ()
Pages: 51-52

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Handle: RePEc:iif:iifjrn:v:20:y:2005:i:227:p:51-52

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