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Government Expenditures and Economic Growth: The Supply and Demand Sides

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  • Pak Hung Mo

Abstract

This paper uses a new approach to estimate how government expenditures affect the growth rate of real GDP. They affect the growth rate through three channels - total factor productivity, investment and aggregate demand. We find that apart from government investment, all government expenditures have negative marginal effects on productivity and GDP growth. In particular, a 1 percentage point increase in the share of government consumption in GDP reduces the equilibrium GDP growth rate by 0.216 percentage points, while the same increase in government investment raises the growth rate by 0.167 percentage points. This suggests that a reallocation of 1 percentage point of government consumption to government investment can raise the growth rate by 0.38 percentage points. Copyright 2007 Institute for Fiscal Studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Pak Hung Mo, 2007. "Government Expenditures and Economic Growth: The Supply and Demand Sides," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 28(4), pages 497-522, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ifs:fistud:v:28:y:2007:i:4:p:497-522
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    Cited by:

    1. Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Mehmet Ugur & Siew Ling Yew, 2017. "Does Government Size Affect Per-Capita Income Growth? A Hierarchical Meta-Regression Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(300), pages 142-171, March.
    2. Glenda Maluleke, 2017. "The Determinants of Government Expenditure: Analysis of the Empirical Literature from 1995 To 2016," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 13(2), pages 212-219, April.
    3. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Effects of the Utilization of Non-Reciprocal Trade Preferences Offered by QUAD Countries on Economic Growth in Beneficiary Countries," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 45(1), pages 33-68.
    4. Igor Fedotenkov & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The effects of public expenditures on labour productivity in Europe," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 845-874, November.
    5. Kagiso Molefe & Ireen Choga, 2017. "Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in South Africa: A Vector Error Correction Modelling and Granger Causality Test," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(4), pages 164-172.
    6. Abida Naurin & Panayiotis M. Pourpourides, 2023. "On the causality between household and government spending on education: evidence from a panel of 40 countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 567-585, August.
    7. Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Siew Ling Yew, 2018. "The effect of military expenditure on growth: an empirical synthesis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1357-1387, November.
    8. Awaworyi Churchill Sefa & Ugur Mehmet & Yew Siew Ling, 2017. "Government education expenditures and economic growth: a meta-analysis," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-17, June.
    9. Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Roberto Ezcurra, 2011. "Is fiscal decentralization harmful for economic growth? Evidence from the OECD countries," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(4), pages 619-643, July.
    10. Diego Enrique Pinilla Rodríguez & Juan de Dios Jiménez Aguilera & Roberto Montero Granados, 2013. "Gasto público y crecimiento económico. Un estudio empírico para América Latina," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, May.
    11. Awaworyi Churchill, S. & Yew, S.L., 2017. "Are government transfers harmful to economic growth? A meta-analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 270-287.
    12. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Yew, Siew Ling & Ugur, Mehmet, 2015. "Effects of Government Education and Health Expenditures on Economic Growth: A Meta-analysis," EconStor Preprints 110901, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    13. David B. Smith, 2009. "How Should Britain'S Government Spending And Tax Burdens Be Measured? A Historic Perspective On The 2009 Budget Forecasts," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 37-47, December.
    14. Gumede, Vusi & Bila, Santos, 2022. "Applying the National Income Identity Approach in Examining Determinants of Economic Growth in South Africa," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 10(2), April.
    15. Simbarashe Tendengu & Forget Mingiri Kapingura & Asrat Tsegaye, 2022. "Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-14, August.
    16. Sefa Awaworyi & Siew Ling Yew, 2014. "Government Transfers and Growth: Is there Evidence of Genuine Effect?," Monash Economics Working Papers 40-14, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    17. Nikopour, Hesam & Shah Habibullah, Muzafar, 2010. "Shadow Economy and Poverty," MPRA Paper 23599, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Mo, Pak Hung, 2011. "Trade Liberalization Sequence for Sustained Economic Growth," MPRA Paper 28917, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Funashima, Yoshito, 2014. "A Comprehensive Analysis of the Response of Private Consumption to Government Spending," MPRA Paper 59968, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Leshoro, Temitope L A, 2017. "An empirical analysis of disaggregated government expenditure and economic growth in South Africa," Working Papers 22644, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.

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