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Self-Fulfilling Expectations and Economic Growth: A Model of Technology Adoption and Industrialization

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  • Chen, Been-Lon
  • Shimomura, Koji

Abstract

In this work, the authors construct a model that integrates both industrialization and endogenous growth. They feature the role of technology adoption in sustaining growth and achieving industrialization. The authors' economy contains multiple equilibria for an initial history. They found that only self-fulfilling expectations matter in selecting an equilibrium, whereas history plays no role. The authors' equilibrium is shown to involve a threshold property: when the economy starts above this threshold, the economy is able to sustain growth; otherwise, it is not. Both the rate of economic growth and the process of industrialization increase gradually and approach an upper hound. Copyright 1998 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association in its journal International Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 39 (1998)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 151-70

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Handle: RePEc:ier:iecrev:v:39:y:1998:i:1:p:151-70

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Cited by:
  1. Been-Lon Chen & Mei Hsu & Chia-Hui Lu, 2007. "Status and Multiple Growth Regimes," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 07-A010, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
  2. Been-Lon Chen & Jie-Ping Mo & Ping Wang, 2000. "Market Frictions, Technology Adoption and Economic Growth," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0034, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
  3. Peng, Shin-Kun & Thisse, Jacques-Francois & Wang, Ping, 2006. "Economic integration and agglomeration in a middle product economy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 131(1), pages 1-25, November.
  4. Roosen, Jutta & Hennessy, David A., 2004. "Seasonality, capital inflexibility, and the industrialization of animal production," FE Working Papers 0401, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Food Economics and Consumption Studies.
  5. Danyang Xie & Ping Wang, 2002. "Activation of a Modern Industry," IMF Working Papers 02/15, International Monetary Fund.
  6. Been-Lon Chen, 2007. "Multiple BGPs in a Growth Model with Habit Persistence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(1), pages 25-48, 02.
  7. Ping Wang & Raymond Riezman, 2008. "Preference Bias and Outsourcing to Market: A Steady-State Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 2222, CESifo Group Munich.
  8. Edwin Lai & Raymond Riezman & Ping Wang, 2009. "Outsourcing of innovation," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 485-515, March.
  9. Been-Lon Chen, 2003. "Tax Evasion in a Model of Endogenous Growth," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(2), pages 381-403, April.
  10. Murat F. Iyigun & Ann L. Owen, 1999. "From indoctrination to the culture of change: technological progress, adaptive skills, and the creativity of nations," International Finance Discussion Papers 642, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

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