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Self-Fulfilling Expectations and Economic Growth: A Model of Technology Adoption and Industrialization

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Author Info
Chen, Been-Lon
Shimomura, Koji

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Abstract

In this work, the authors construct a model that integrates both industrialization and endogenous growth. They feature the role of technology adoption in sustaining growth and achieving industrialization. The authors' economy contains multiple equilibria for an initial history. They found that only self-fulfilling expectations matter in selecting an equilibrium, whereas history plays no role. The authors' equilibrium is shown to involve a threshold property: when the economy starts above this threshold, the economy is able to sustain growth; otherwise, it is not. Both the rate of economic growth and the process of industrialization increase gradually and approach an upper hound. Copyright 1998 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association in its journal International Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 39 (1998)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 151-70
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Handle: RePEc:ier:iecrev:v:39:y:1998:i:1:p:151-70

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  1. Jutta Roosen & David A. Hennessy & Thia C. Hennessy, 2004. "Seasonality, Capital Inflexibility, and the Industrialization of Animal Production," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 04-wp351, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Murat F. Iyigun & Ann L. Owen, 1999. "From indoctrination to the culture of change: technological progress, adaptive skills, and the creativity of nations," International Finance Discussion Papers 642, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  3. Been-Lon Chen & Jie-Ping Mo & Ping Wang, 1999. "Market Frictions, Technology Adoption and Economic Growth," Working Papers 0034, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, revised Aug 2000. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Ping Wang, 2002. "Activation of a Modern Industry," Microeconomics Working Papers 222, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Ping Wang & Raymond Riezman, 2008. "Preference Bias and Outsourcing to Market: A Steady-State Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Been-Lon Chen, 2003. "Tax Evasion in a Model of Endogenous Growth," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(2), pages 381-403, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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