This paper analyzes the effects of transitory productivity shocks on long-run output. The study demonstrates that, despite it transitory nature, an adverse productivity shock may result in lower long-run output. A fall in productivity reduces output and savings and, consequently, the interest rate increases and investment in human capital falls. Although productivity returns to its initial level, a sufficiently large reduction in investment pushes the economy to a new stationary equilibrium with lower output. A redistribution of income from consumers to savers may restore the initial long-run output. Copyright 1992 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.
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Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association in its journal International Economic Review.
Volume (Year): 33 (1992) Issue (Month): 4 (November) Pages: 921-33 Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
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