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The Statistical Properties of Dimension Calculations Using Small Data Sets: Some Economic Applications

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Author Info
Ramsey, James B
Sayers, Chera L
Rothman, Philip

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Abstract

Several recent attempts have been made to test for chaos in economic time series through dimension calculations. Relative to the large data sets used in the natural sciences, economic time series are small. Using a procedure developed by J. B. Ramsey and H. Yuan, the authors show that, with the techniques available to date and for the time series examined so far, there is virtually no evidence for the presence of simple chaotic attractors. Copyright 1990 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association in its journal International Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 31 (1990)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 991-1020
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Handle: RePEc:ier:iecrev:v:31:y:1990:i:4:p:991-1020

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  1. M. Matilla-García & P. Sanz & F. J. Vázquez, 2004. "Dimension estimation with the BDS-G statistic," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(11), pages 1219-1223, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Philip Rothman, . "Table of Contents, List of Contributors, and Introduction to NONLINEAR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DATA, Kluwer Academic Press, edited," Working Papers 9812, East Carolina University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. David Peel & Alan Speight, 1994. "Testing for non-linear dependence in inter-war exchange rates," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 130(2), pages 391-417, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. M. Matilla-GarcÍa & R. Queralt & P. Sanz & F. VÁzquez, 2004. "A Generalized BDS Statistic," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 277-300, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. William A. Barnett & Alfredo Medio & Apostolos Serletis, 1997. "Nonlinear and Complex Dynamics in Economics," Econometrics 9709001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  6. Ramsey, James B., 1988. "Economic And Financial Data As Nonlinear Processes," Working Papers 88-30, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ramsey, J.B. & Lampart, C., 1997. "The Decomposition of Economic Relationships by Time Scale Using Wavelets," Working Papers 97-08, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  8. Blake LeBaron, 1994. "Chaos and Nonlinear Forecastability in Economics and Finance," Finance 9411001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  9. David Chappell, Robert M. Eldridge, 1997. "Non-linear characteristics of the sterling/European Currency Unit exchange rate: 1984–1992," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 159-182, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. James Bullard & Alison Butler, 1992. "Nonlinearity and chaos in economic models: implications for policy decisions," Working Papers 1991-002, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Ramsey, J.B. & Rothman, P., 1992. "A Reassessment of Dimension Calculations Using Some Monetary Data," Working Papers 92-28, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  12. Matilla-García, M. & Rodríguez Ruiz, J., 2005. "Aplicabilidad del test BDS al análisis de series económicas/Aplicadility of las test to economic time series analysis," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 23, pages 507-519, Agosto. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Ignacio Olmeda & Joaquin Pérez, 1995. "Non-linear dynamics and chaos in the Spanish stock market," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 19(2), pages 217-248, May. [Downloadable!]
  14. William A. Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 1998. "Martingales, Nonlinearity, and Chaos," Econometrics 9805003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. repec:att:wimass:19976 is not listed on IDEAS
  16. Mototsugu Shintani & Oliver Linton, 2000. "Is There Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors," Working Papers 0111, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, revised Jun 2001. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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