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De los picapiedras a los supersónicos: Maravillas del progreso tecnológico con convergencia

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  • Javier Gerardo Milei

    (Economista Jefe Fundación Acordar (Argentina))

Abstract

El presente artículo se basa en una colección de ensayos. Estos describen cómo la convergencia y la aceleración del crecimiento basada en el capital humano y el progreso tecnológico nos pondrán de frente a una singularidad económica, donde la economía dejaría de ser la ciencia de administración de la escasez para convertirse en la ciencia del estudio de la acción humana en un entorno de abundancia radical. Cuantitativamente, si en el Siglo XXI el mundo converge, el PBI per-cápita crecería a una tasa del 4,18%, por lo que éste se multiplicaría 59,1 veces, superando en 4,6 veces los logros de 20 siglos. Si quiere hacerse una idea de lo que hablo, compare nuestro nivel de vida con el de inicios de la Era Cristiana. Luego considere qué sentiría una persona de dicho tiempo si le relatara lo que acontece hoy en nuestro mundo. Ahora, intente racionalizarlo y multiplique esas sensaciones 4,6 veces. Bienvenido a la Singularidad. / This article is based on a collection of essays. They describe how the convergence and acceleration of growth based on human capital and technological progress will present us an economic singularity, here the economy would cease to be the science of management of scarcity to become the science of the study of human action in an environment of radical abundance. Quantitatively, if in the XXI century the world converges, GDP per capita would grow at a rate of 4.18%, so it would be multiplied 59.1 times, exceeding 4.6 times the achievements of 20 centuries. If you want to get an idea of what I mean, compare our standard of living with that of the beginning of the Christian Era. Then consider what a person from that time would feel if you told them what happens in our world today. Now, try to rationalize and multiply those feelings 4.6 times. Welcome to the Singularity.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Gerardo Milei, 2014. "De los picapiedras a los supersónicos: Maravillas del progreso tecnológico con convergencia," Revista Actualidad Económica, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto de Economía y Finanzas, vol. 24(83), pages 5-18, May-Ago.
  • Handle: RePEc:ief:revaec:v:24:y:2014:i:83:p:5-18
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    File URL: https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/acteconomica/article/view/9532/10301
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento económico; cambio tecnológico; capital humano; convergencia económica;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General

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