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The informational efficiency of the black and official exchange markets of DR-CAFTA nations

Author

Listed:
  • Shuming Bai
  • Kai S. Koong
  • Lai C. Liu
  • Binshan Lin

Abstract

This study examines the long-run informational efficiency and short-run predictability of the black and official exchange markets of Dominican Republic-Central American Free Trade Agreement (DR-CAFTA) nations. Applying a battery of nonparametric as well as time series models, this study finds that the black market information exhibited a nonrandom behaviour. In four of the six examined countries, the black and official markets were found to have a co-integrating relationship. Both the vector error correction model and the Granger causality test confirmed that the black market information was a good predictor of the official rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuming Bai & Kai S. Koong & Lai C. Liu & Binshan Lin, 2008. "The informational efficiency of the black and official exchange markets of DR-CAFTA nations," International Journal of Electronic Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(3), pages 330-347.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijelfi:v:2:y:2008:i:3:p:330-347
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