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An Estimated Open-Economy Dsge Model For The Evaluation Of Cen Tion Of Central Bank Policy Mi Tral Bank Policy Mix

Author

Listed:
  • Solikin M. Juhro

    (Bank Indonesia - Indonesia)

  • Denny Lie

    (University of Sydney, Australia)

  • Aryo Sasongko

    (Bank Indonesia - Indonesia)

Abstract

This paper builds and estimates a small open-economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model suitable for the evaluation of central bank policy mix, with a particular application on the Indonesian economy. The model has a rich array of shocks and frictions, including banking and financial frictions. We illustrate how the estimated model can be used to investigate the source of aggregate fluctuations in Indonesia and to evaluate and simulate a policy mix involving monetary and macroprudential policies. Our Bayesian estimation identifies the COVID-19 pandemic shocks as being mainly a combination of adverse supply-side (technology) and demand-side (preference and foreign-output) shocks. We show that a countercyclical capital requirement rule could be a potent addition to Bank Indonesia’s policy mix arsenal. Despite its rich features, the model is scalable and can be readily extended for evaluating other types of central bank policy mix, including monetary-macroprudential-fiscal policy interaction and the inclusion of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

Suggested Citation

  • Solikin M. Juhro & Denny Lie & Aryo Sasongko, 2023. "An Estimated Open-Economy Dsge Model For The Evaluation Of Cen Tion Of Central Bank Policy Mi Tral Bank Policy Mix," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 26(3), pages 397-436, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:26:y:2023:i:3a:p:397-436
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.59091/2460-9196.2126
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central bank policy mix; Integrated policy framework; Countercyclical macroprudential policy rule; DSGE model for Indonesia; COVID-19 pandemic; Capital requirement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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