IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/idn/journl/v22y2019i2dp195-212.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating The Equity Risk Premium: The Case Of Greater China

Author

Listed:
  • Jie Zhu

    (Shanghai University)

Abstract

The expected equity risk premium is a key input in various financial applications. Different methods exist for estimating the risk premium. This paper applies two approaches to estimate it in the markets of Greater China. More specifically, the historical average and relative estimation are carefully examined. The first approach is applied to estimate the equity risk premium when the markets are recovering from a trough. Then the relative estimation approach is applied to justify those findings, taking into consideration the lower rate of return required of Chinese investors due to a lack of investment opportunities. After these adjustments, the risk premium in Mainland China is found to be close to those in Hong Kong and Taiwan. All of these markets have a higher risk premium than in the US market. The risk premiums for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets are about 8% and 10%, respectively. The risk premiums for the Hong Kong and Taiwan markets are 8% and 9% compared to a long-term forward-looking risk premium of about 4% for the US market.

Suggested Citation

  • Jie Zhu, 2019. "Estimating The Equity Risk Premium: The Case Of Greater China," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(2), pages 195-212, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:22:y:2019:i:2d:p:195-212
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v22i2.1088
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://bulletin.bmeb-bi.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1089&context=bmeb
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v22i2.1088?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equity risk premium; Greater China; Relative estimation; Required rate of return;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:22:y:2019:i:2d:p:195-212. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lutzardo Tobing or Jimmy Kathon (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bigovid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.