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Sovereign Credit Ratings and Macroeconomic Variables: An Empirical Analysis on Dynamic Linkages in Malaysia Using Bound Test Approach

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  • Ahmad Abd Halim
  • Mohd Daud Siti Nurazira
  • Marzuki Ainulashikin

Abstract

: The paper investigates the long- and short-run relationship between sovereign credit ratings and macroeconomic variables in Malaysia by employing quarterly data from 1991 to 2004. A robust and recent time series technique known as the Unrestricted Error Correction Model Bound Test was used which is applicable irrespective of whether the regressors are I(0) or I(1). The results show that in the long run, debt to GDP, debt service to reserve and US Treasury Bill rate (3 months) appear to have a significant impact on Malaysia s sovereign credit ratings. The findings of the study show that Malaysia s long-term ability to pay its debt contains information for the prediction of the credit ratings.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad Abd Halim & Mohd Daud Siti Nurazira & Marzuki Ainulashikin, 2008. "Sovereign Credit Ratings and Macroeconomic Variables: An Empirical Analysis on Dynamic Linkages in Malaysia Using Bound Test Approach," The IUP Journal of Applied Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(6), pages 29-39, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:icf:icfjae:v:07:y:2008:i:6:p:29-39
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    Cited by:

    1. Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2011. "Demand for Money in Hungary: An ARDL Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 1, pages 01-16, November.
    2. Gadhoum, Anouar & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Emerging market equities and US policy uncertainty: evidence from Malaysia based on ARDL," MPRA Paper 105469, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Momin, Ebaad & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Do US policy uncertainty, leveraging costs and global risk aversion impact emerging market equities? An application of bounds testing approach to the BRICS," MPRA Paper 65834, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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