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Validation of a Mathematical Model Applied to Four Autonomous Communities in Spain to Determine the Number of People Infected by Covid-19

Author

Listed:
  • Gastón Sanglier
  • Roberto A. Gónzález
  • Sonia Cesteros
  • Eduardo J. López

Abstract

In this study, the application of a mathematical method already developed in other articles for the study of the speed of propagation of the number of people infected by Covid-19 has been validated. The proposed mathematical model has been contrasted with models based on quantitative prognostic methods in order to seek its validation. At the same time, the forecast errors of the proposed methods and the mathematical model have been calculated and compared. The results obtained have been applied to the four autonomous communities in Spain with the highest number of coronavirus infections during the study period, obtaining very satisfactory results and achieving very good approximations to the real data on the number of infected people in all the autonomous communities studied.

Suggested Citation

  • Gastón Sanglier & Roberto A. Gónzález & Sonia Cesteros & Eduardo J. López, 2020. "Validation of a Mathematical Model Applied to Four Autonomous Communities in Spain to Determine the Number of People Infected by Covid-19," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(6), pages 110-110, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:masjnl:v:14:y:2020:i:6:p:110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Erik Cobo & Albert Selva-O'Callagham & Josep-Maria Ribera & Francesc Cardellach & Ruth Dominguez & Miquel Vilardell, 2007. "Statistical Reviewers Improve Reporting in Biomedical Articles: A Randomized Trial," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 2(3), pages 1-8, March.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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