IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i16p12458-d1218449.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multi-Risk Assessment in the Veneto Region: An Approach to Rank Seismic and Flood Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriella Tocchi

    (Department of Structures for Engineering and Architecture, University of Naples Federico II, Via Claudio 21, 80125 Naples, Italy)

  • Daria Ottonelli

    (CIMA Research Foundation, Via A. Magliotto 2, 17100 Savona, Italy)

  • Nicola Rebora

    (CIMA Research Foundation, Via A. Magliotto 2, 17100 Savona, Italy)

  • Maria Polese

    (Department of Structures for Engineering and Architecture, University of Naples Federico II, Via Claudio 21, 80125 Naples, Italy)

Abstract

Effective disaster risk management in a given area relies on the analysis of all relevant risks potentially affecting it. A proper multi-risk evaluation requires the ranking of analyzed risks and the estimation of overall expected impacts, considering possible hazards (and vulnerabilities) interactions as well. Due to their complex and challenging modelling, such interactions are usually neglected, and the analysis of risks derived from different sources are commonly performed through independent analysis. However, often the assessment procedures adopted for the analysis as well as the metrics used to express various risks are different, making results of single risk analyses hardly comparable. To overcome this issue, an approach that allows for comparing and ranking risks is presented in this study. The approach is demonstrated through an application for an Italian region. Earthquakes and floods are the investigated hazards. First, in order to select the case study area, the municipalities within the Veneto region where both risks could be highest are identified by adopting an index-based approach. Then, the harmonization of seismic and flood risk assessment procedure is performed. Sub-municipal areas are selected as scale of analysis and direct economic losses are chosen as common impact metrics. The results of the single risk analyses are compared using risk curves as standardization tool. The EAL (expected annual losses) are estimated through risk curves and the ratios between EAL due to floods and earthquakes are mapped, showing in which area risk is significantly higher than the other.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriella Tocchi & Daria Ottonelli & Nicola Rebora & Maria Polese, 2023. "Multi-Risk Assessment in the Veneto Region: An Approach to Rank Seismic and Flood Risk," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-21, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:16:p:12458-:d:1218449
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/16/12458/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/16/12458/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. C. Velásquez & O. Cardona & M. Mora & L. Yamin & M. Carreño & A. Barbat, 2014. "Hybrid loss exceedance curve (HLEC) for disaster risk assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(2), pages 455-479, June.
    2. A. Carpignano & E. Golia & C. Di Mauro & S. Bouchon & J-P. Nordvik, 2009. "A methodological approach for the definition of multi-risk maps at regional level: first application," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3-4), pages 513-534, June.
    3. Jan Huizinga & Hans de Moel & Wojciech Szewczyk, 2017. "Global flood depth-damage functions: Methodology and the database with guidelines," JRC Research Reports JRC105688, Joint Research Centre.
    4. G. Grünthal & A. Thieken & J. Schwarz & K. Radtke & A. Smolka & B. Merz, 2006. "Comparative Risk Assessments for the City of Cologne – Storms, Floods, Earthquakes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 38(1), pages 21-44, May.
    5. Melanie Kappes & Margreth Keiler & Kirsten Elverfeldt & Thomas Glade, 2012. "Challenges of analyzing multi-hazard risk: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(2), pages 1925-1958, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arnaud Mignan & Stefan Wiemer & Domenico Giardini, 2014. "The quantification of low-probability–high-consequences events: part I. A generic multi-risk approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1999-2022, September.
    2. Jiajun Wang & Zhichao He & Wenguo Weng, 2020. "A review of the research into the relations between hazards in multi-hazard risk analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2003-2026, December.
    3. Casey Zuzak & Matthew Mowrer & Emily Goodenough & Jordan Burns & Nicholas Ranalli & Jesse Rozelle, 2022. "The national risk index: establishing a nationwide baseline for natural hazard risk in the US," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 2331-2355, November.
    4. Saurabh Prabhu & Mohammad Javanbarg & Marc Lehmann & Sez Atamturktur, 2019. "Multi-peril risk assessment for business downtime of industrial facilities," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(3), pages 1327-1356, July.
    5. M. Mehdi Bateni & Mario L. V. Martina & ·Marcello Arosio, 2022. "Multivariate return period for different types of flooding in city of Monza, Italy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(1), pages 811-823, October.
    6. Pilar Baquedano Julià & Tiago Miguel Ferreira, 2021. "From single- to multi-hazard vulnerability and risk in Historic Urban Areas: a literature review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 93-128, August.
    7. Adriana Galderisi & Giada Limongi, 2021. "A Comprehensive Assessment of Exposure and Vulnerabilities in Multi-Hazard Urban Environments: A Key Tool for Risk-Informed Planning Strategies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    8. Baoyin Liu & Yim Ling Siu & Gordon Mitchell & Wei Xu, 2016. "The danger of mapping risk from multiple natural hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(1), pages 139-153, May.
    9. M. Budimir & P. Atkinson & H. Lewis, 2014. "Earthquake-and-landslide events are associated with more fatalities than earthquakes alone," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(2), pages 895-914, June.
    10. Mohamed Marwan Al Heib & Christian Franck & Hippolyte Djizanne & Marie Degas, 2023. "Post-Mining Multi-Hazard Assessment for Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-17, May.
    11. Chaofeng Shao & Juan Yang & Xiaogang Tian & Meiting Ju & Lei Huang, 2013. "Integrated Environmental Risk Assessment and Whole-Process Management System in Chemical Industry Parks," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-22, April.
    12. Fatma Yerlikaya-Özkurt & Aysegul Askan, 2020. "Prediction of potential seismic damage using classification and regression trees: a case study on earthquake damage databases from Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 3163-3180, September.
    13. Dylan Sanderson & Sabarethinam Kameshwar & Nathanael Rosenheim & Daniel Cox, 2021. "Deaggregation of multi-hazard damages, losses, risks, and connectivity: an application to the joint seismic-tsunami hazard at Seaside, Oregon," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(2), pages 1821-1847, November.
    14. Jantsje M. Mol & W. J. Wouter Botzen & Julia E. Blasch & Hans de Moel, 2020. "Insights into Flood Risk Misperceptions of Homeowners in the Dutch River Delta," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(7), pages 1450-1468, July.
    15. Caridad Ballesteros & José A. Jiménez & Christophe Viavattene, 2018. "A multi-component flood risk assessment in the Maresme coast (NW Mediterranean)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(1), pages 265-292, January.
    16. Mohamed Kefi & Binaya Kumar Mishra & Yoshifumi Masago & Kensuke Fukushi, 2020. "Analysis of flood damage and influencing factors in urban catchments: case studies in Manila, Philippines, and Jakarta, Indonesia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2461-2487, December.
    17. Ruben Prütz & Peter Månsson, 2021. "A GIS-based approach to compare economic damages of fluvial flooding in the Neckar River basin under current conditions and future scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 1807-1834, September.
    18. Bin Ou-Yang & Chun-Chao Chu & Ya-Bin Da & Xiao-Fei Liu & Hai-Ying Zhang, 2015. "Highway flood disaster risk evaluation and management in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(2), pages 381-397, February.
    19. Qiao, Wanguan, 2021. "Analysis and measurement of multifactor risk in underground coal mine accidents based on coupling theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    20. Michele Loberto & Matteo Spuri, 2023. "The impact of flood risk on real estate wealth in Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 768, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:16:p:12458-:d:1218449. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.