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Economic Value of Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts at Incheon Airport, South Korea

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  • In-Gyum Kim

    (Planning and Finance Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea)

  • Hye-Min Kim

    (Planning and Finance Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea)

  • Dae-Geun Lee

    (Planning and Finance Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea)

  • Byunghwan Lim

    (Planning and Finance Division, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea)

  • Hee-Choon Lee

    (Earthquake and Volcano Policy Division, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul 07062, Korea)

Abstract

Meteorological information at an arrival airport is one of the primary variables used to determine refueling of discretionary fuel. This study evaluated the economic value of terminal aerodrome forecasts (TAF), which has not been previously quantitatively analyzed in Korea. The analysis data included 374,716 international flights that arrived at Incheon airport during 2017–2019. A cost–loss model was used for the analysis, which is a methodology to evaluate forecast value by considering the cost and loss that users can expect, considering the decision-making result based on forecast utilization. The value was divided in terms of improving fuel efficiency and reducing CO 2 emissions. The results of the analysis indicate that the annual average TAF value for Incheon Airport was approximately 2.2 M–20.1 M USD under two hypothetical rules of refueling of discretionary fuel. This value is up to 26.2% higher than the total budget of 16.3 M USD set for the production of aviation meteorological forecasts by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Further, it is up to 10 times greater than the 2 M USD spent on aviation meteorological information fees collected by the KMA in 2018.

Suggested Citation

  • In-Gyum Kim & Hye-Min Kim & Dae-Geun Lee & Byunghwan Lim & Hee-Choon Lee, 2021. "Economic Value of Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts at Incheon Airport, South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-13, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:12:p:6965-:d:579054
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. So-Yeon Park & Seul-Ye Lim & Seung-Hoon Yoo, 2016. "The Economic Value of the National Meteorological Service in the Korean Household Sector: A Contingent Valuation Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-13, August.
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