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An Emergency Decision-Making Method for Urban Rainstorm Water-Logging: A China Study

Author

Listed:
  • Jiyong Ding

    (Institute of Engineering Management, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China
    Jiangsu Provincial Collaborative Innovation Center of World Water Valley and Water Ecological Civilization, Nanjing 211100, China)

  • Juefang Cai

    (Institute of Engineering Management, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China)

  • Guangxiang Guo

    (Institute of Engineering Management, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China
    Water Affairs Bureau of Guangzhou Municipality, Guangzhou 510000, China)

  • Chen Chen

    (Institute of Engineering Management, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China)

Abstract

With the rapid development of the urbanization process, rainstorm water-logging events occur more frequently in big cities in China, which causes great impact on urban traffic safety and brings about severe economic losses. Water-logging has become a hot issue of widespread concern in China. As one kind of natural disasters and emergencies, rainstorm water-logging has the uncertainties of occurrence, development, and evolution. Thus, the emergency decision-making in rainstorm water-logging should be carried out in stages according to its development trend, which is very complicated. In this paper, an emergency decision-making method was proposed for urban water-logging with a hybrid use of dynamic network game technology, Bayesian analysis, and multi-attribute utility theory. The dynamic game process between “rainstorm water-logging” and “decision-making group” was established and the dynamic generation of emergency schemes was analyzed based on Bayesian analysis in various stages of water-logging. In terms of decision-making attributes, this paper mainly considered two goals, i.e., ensuring smooth traffic and controlling emergency cost. The multi-attribute utility theory was used to select the final scheme. An example analysis in Guangzhou of China showed that the method is more targeted and can achieve emergency management objectives more effectively when compared with traditional methods. Therefore, it can provide reference for the scientific decision-making of emergency management in urban rainstorm water-logging.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiyong Ding & Juefang Cai & Guangxiang Guo & Chen Chen, 2018. "An Emergency Decision-Making Method for Urban Rainstorm Water-Logging: A China Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-21, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:3453-:d:172437
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yang Cai & Lianshui Li & Ehsan Elahi & Yueming Qiu, 2018. "Selection of Policies on Typhoon and Rainstorm Disasters in China: A Content Analysis Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-13, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wen Li & Rengui Jiang & Jiancang Xie & Yong Zhao & Jiwei Zhu & Siyu Yang, 2023. "Emergency management decision of urban rainstorm and flood disasters based on similar cases analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 753-768, March.
    2. Qing’e Wang & Mengmeng Su & Lei Zeng & Huihua Chen, 2022. "A New Method to Assist Decision-Making of Water Environmental Emergency in Expressway Region," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-19, August.

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