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Modified Mean-Variance Risk Measures for Long-Term Portfolios

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  • Hyungbin Park

    (Department of Mathematical Sciences and RIMS, Seoul National University, 1, Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 08826, Korea)

Abstract

This paper proposes modified mean-variance risk measures for long-term investment portfolios. Two types of portfolios are considered: constant proportion portfolios and increasing amount portfolios. They are widely used in finance for investing assets and developing derivative securities. We compare the long-term behavior of a conventional mean-variance risk measure and a modified one of the two types of portfolios, and we discuss the benefits of the modified measure. Subsequently, an optimal long-term investment strategy is derived. We show that the modified risk measure reflects the investor’s risk aversion on the optimal long-term investment strategy; however, the conventional one does not. Several factor models are discussed as concrete examples: the Black–Scholes model, Kim–Omberg model, Heston model, and 3/2 stochastic volatility model.

Suggested Citation

  • Hyungbin Park, 2021. "Modified Mean-Variance Risk Measures for Long-Term Portfolios," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-23, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:9:y:2021:i:2:p:111-:d:475725
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Hyungbin Park, 2015. "Sensitivity Analysis of Long-Term Cash Flows," Papers 1511.03744, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2018.
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    13. Tim Leung & Hyungbin Park, 2017. "LONG-TERM GROWTH RATE OF EXPECTED UTILITY FOR LEVERAGED ETFs: MARTINGALE EXTRACTION APPROACH," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(06), pages 1-33, September.
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