IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v10y2022i10p1619-d812176.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation of the Hurst Parameter in Spot Volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Yicun Li

    (Business School, Zhejiang University City College, Hangzhou Yiyuan Technology Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310015, China)

  • Yuanyang Teng

    (School of Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou Yiyuan Technology Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310027, China)

Abstract

This paper contributes in three stages in a logic of the cognitive process: we firstly propose a new estimation of Hurst exponent by changing frequency method which is purely mathematical. Then we want to check if the new Hurst is efficient, so we prove the advantages of this new Hurst in asymptotic variance in the perspective compared with other two Hurst estimator. However, a purely mathematical game is not enough, a good estimation should be proven by reality, so we apply the new Hurst estimator into truncated and non-truncated spot volatility which fills the gap of previous literatures using 5-min price data (Source: Wind Financial Terminal) of 10 Chinese A-share industry indices from 1 January 2005 until 31 December 2020.

Suggested Citation

  • Yicun Li & Yuanyang Teng, 2022. "Estimation of the Hurst Parameter in Spot Volatility," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-26, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:10:p:1619-:d:812176
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/10/1619/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/10/1619/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
    2. Alexandra Chronopoulou & Frederi G. Viens, 2012. "Stochastic volatility and option pricing with long-memory in discrete and continuous time," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 635-649, December.
    3. Giuseppe Brandi & T. Di Matteo, 2022. "Multiscaling and rough volatility: an empirical investigation," Papers 2201.10466, arXiv.org.
    4. Stein, Elias M & Stein, Jeremy C, 1991. "Stock Price Distributions with Stochastic Volatility: An Analytic Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(4), pages 727-752.
    5. Tetsuya Takaishi, 2019. "Rough volatility of Bitcoin," Papers 1904.12346, arXiv.org.
    6. José Da Fonseca & Wenjun Zhang, 2019. "Volatility of volatility is (also) rough," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 600-611, May.
    7. Brandi, Giuseppe & Di Matteo, T., 2022. "Multiscaling and rough volatility: An empirical investigation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Fabienne Comte & Eric Renault, 1998. "Long memory in continuous‐time stochastic volatility models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(4), pages 291-323, October.
    9. Xiao, Weilin & Yu, Jun, 2019. "Asymptotic Theory For Estimating Drift Parameters In The Fractional Vasicek Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(1), pages 198-231, February.
    10. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    11. Scott, Louis O., 1987. "Option Pricing when the Variance Changes Randomly: Theory, Estimation, and an Application," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 419-438, December.
    12. Renò, Roberto, 2008. "Nonparametric Estimation Of The Diffusion Coefficient Of Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(5), pages 1174-1206, October.
    13. Alexandra Chronopoulou & Frederi Viens, 2012. "Estimation and pricing under long-memory stochastic volatility," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 379-403, May.
    14. Hideharu Funahashi & Masaaki Kijima, 2017. "Does the Hurst index matter for option prices under fractional volatility?," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 55-74, February.
    15. Omar El Euch & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "The characteristic function of rough Heston models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 3-38, January.
    16. F. Comte & L. Coutin & E. Renault, 2012. "Affine fractional stochastic volatility models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 337-378, May.
    17. Giulia Livieri & Saad Mouti & Andrea Pallavicini & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Rough volatility: Evidence from option prices," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(9), pages 767-776, September.
    18. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    19. Chao Liang & Yu Wei & Xiafei Li & Xuhui Zhang & Yifeng Zhang, 2020. "Uncertainty and crude oil market volatility: new evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(27), pages 2945-2959, May.
    20. Kubilius, K., 2020. "CLT for quadratic variation of Gaussian processes and its application to the estimation of the Orey index," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    21. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2016. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," Papers 1610.00332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    22. Elisa Alòs & Jorge León & Josep Vives, 2007. "On the short-time behavior of the implied volatility for jump-diffusion models with stochastic volatility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 571-589, October.
    23. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    24. Masaaki Fukasawa & Tetsuya Takabatake & Rebecca Westphal, 2019. "Is Volatility Rough ?," Papers 1905.04852, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
    25. Christian Bayer & Peter Friz & Jim Gatheral, 2016. "Pricing under rough volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 887-904, June.
    26. Hull, John C & White, Alan D, 1987. "The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(2), pages 281-300, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Camelia Petrescu & Valeriu David, 2022. "Preface to the Special Issue on “Modelling and Simulation in Engineering”," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-3, July.
    2. Evgeniya Gospodinova & Penio Lebamovski & Galya Georgieva-Tsaneva & Galina Bogdanova & Diana Dimitrova, 2022. "Methods for Mathematical Analysis of Simulated and Real Fractal Processes with Application in Cardiology," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-16, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Giulia Di Nunno & Kk{e}stutis Kubilius & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2023. "From constant to rough: A survey of continuous volatility modeling," Papers 2309.01033, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    2. Jacquier, Antoine & Pannier, Alexandre, 2022. "Large and moderate deviations for stochastic Volterra systems," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 142-187.
    3. Elisa Alòs & Jorge A. León, 2021. "An Intuitive Introduction to Fractional and Rough Volatilities," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-22, April.
    4. Antoine Jacquier & Alexandre Pannier, 2020. "Large and moderate deviations for stochastic Volterra systems," Papers 2004.10571, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
    5. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2022. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 733-769, October.
    6. Giulia Di Nunno & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2022. "Sandwiched Volterra Volatility model: Markovian approximations and hedging," Papers 2209.13054, arXiv.org.
    7. Raul Merino & Jan Posp'iv{s}il & Tom'av{s} Sobotka & Tommi Sottinen & Josep Vives, 2019. "Decomposition formula for rough Volterra stochastic volatility models," Papers 1906.07101, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
    8. Jingtang Ma & Wensheng Yang & Zhenyu Cui, 2021. "Semimartingale and continuous-time Markov chain approximation for rough stochastic local volatility models," Papers 2110.08320, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    9. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Papers 2210.12393, arXiv.org.
    10. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Working Papers hal-03827332, HAL.
    11. Giulia Di Nunno & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2022. "Option pricing in Sandwiched Volterra Volatility model," Papers 2209.10688, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    12. Archil Gulisashvili, 2017. "Large deviation principle for Volterra type fractional stochastic volatility models," Papers 1710.10711, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    13. Siow Woon Jeng & Adem Kilicman, 2020. "Series Expansion and Fourth-Order Global Padé Approximation for a Rough Heston Solution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-26, November.
    14. Eduardo Abi Jaber, 2022. "The characteristic function of Gaussian stochastic volatility models: an analytic expression," Working Papers hal-02946146, HAL.
    15. Florian Bourgey & Stefano De Marco & Peter K. Friz & Paolo Pigato, 2023. "Local volatility under rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(4), pages 1119-1145, October.
    16. Huy N. Chau & Duy Nguyen & Thai Nguyen, 2024. "On short-time behavior of implied volatility in a market model with indexes," Papers 2402.16509, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    17. M.E. Mancino & S. Scotti & G. Toscano, 2020. "Is the Variance Swap Rate Affine in the Spot Variance? Evidence from S&P500 Data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 288-316, July.
    18. Brandi, Giuseppe & Di Matteo, T., 2022. "Multiscaling and rough volatility: An empirical investigation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    19. Elisa Alòs & Yan Yang, 2014. "A closed-form option pricing approximation formula for a fractional Heston model," Economics Working Papers 1446, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    20. Etienne Chevalier & Sergio Pulido & Elizabeth Zúñiga, 2021. "American options in the Volterra Heston model," Working Papers hal-03178306, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:10:p:1619-:d:812176. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.