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Determining Distribution for the Quotients of Dependent and Independent Random Variables by Using Copulas

Author

Listed:
  • Sel Ly

    (Faculty of Mathematics and Statistics, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City 756636, Vietnam)

  • Kim-Hung Pho

    (Faculty of Mathematics and Statistics, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City 756636, Vietnam)

  • Sal Ly

    (Faculty of Mathematics and Statistics, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City 756636, Vietnam)

  • Wing-Keung Wong

    (Department of Finance, Fintech Center, and Big Data Research Center, Asia University, Taichung 41354, Taiwan
    Department of Medical Research, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung 40402, Taiwan
    Department of Economics and Finance, Hang Seng University of Hong Kong, Shatin 999077, Hong Kong, China)

Abstract

Determining distributions of the functions of random variables is a very important problem with a wide range of applications in Risk Management, Finance, Economics, Science, and many other areas. This paper develops the theory on both density and distribution functions for the quotient Y = X 1 X 2 and the ratio of one variable over the sum of two variables Z = X 1 X 1 + X 2 of two dependent or independent random variables X 1 and X 2 by using copulas to capture the structures between X 1 and X 2 . Thereafter, we extend the theory by establishing the density and distribution functions for the quotients Y = X 1 X 2 and Z = X 1 X 1 + X 2 of two dependent normal random variables X 1 and X 2 in the case of Gaussian copulas. We then develop the theory on the median for the ratios of both Y and Z on two normal random variables X 1 and X 2 . Furthermore, we extend the result of median for Z to a larger family of symmetric distributions and symmetric copulas of X 1 and X 2 . Our results are the foundation of any further study that relies on the density and cumulative probability functions of ratios for two dependent or independent random variables. Since the densities and distributions of the ratios of both Y and Z are in terms of integrals and are very complicated, their exact forms cannot be obtained. To circumvent the difficulty, this paper introduces the Monte Carlo algorithm, numerical analysis, and graphical approach to efficiently compute the complicated integrals and study the behaviors of density and distribution. We illustrate our proposed approaches by using a simulation study with ratios of normal random variables on several different copulas, including Gaussian, Student- t , Clayton, Gumbel, Frank, and Joe Copulas. We find that copulas make big impacts from different Copulas on behavior of distributions, especially on median, spread, scale and skewness effects. In addition, we also discuss the behaviors via all copulas above with the same Kendall’s coefficient. The approaches developed in this paper are flexible and have a wide range of applications for both symmetric and non-symmetric distributions and also for both skewed and non-skewed copulas with absolutely continuous random variables that could contain a negative range, for instance, generalized skewed- t distribution and skewed- t Copulas. Thus, our findings are useful for academics, practitioners, and policy makers.

Suggested Citation

  • Sel Ly & Kim-Hung Pho & Sal Ly & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Determining Distribution for the Quotients of Dependent and Independent Random Variables by Using Copulas," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-27, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:12:y:2019:i:1:p:42-:d:213207
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Management Information, Decision Sciences, and Financial Economics: A Connection," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-004/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Wong, W.-K., 2015. "Informatics, Data Mining, Econometrics and Financial Economics: A Connection," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2015-34, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    3. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Decision Sciences, Economics, Finance, Business, Computing, and Big Data: Connections," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-024/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    4. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Big Data, Computational Science, Economics, Finance, Marketing, Management, and Psychology: Connections," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, March.
    5. Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Wong, W.-K., 2016. "Management Science, Economics and Finance: A Connection," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2016-26, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    6. Nadarajah, Saralees & Kotz, Samuel, 2006. "On The Product And Ratio Of Gamma And Weibull Random Variables," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 338-344, April.
    7. Hien Duy Tran & Uyen Hoang Pham & Sel Ly & T. Vo-Duy, 2017. "Extraction dependence structure of distorted copulas via a measure of dependence," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 256(2), pages 221-236, September.
    8. Ali Dolati & Rasool Roozegar & Najmeh Ahmadi & Zohreh Shishebor, 2017. "The effect of dependence on distribution of the functions of random variables," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(21), pages 10704-10717, November.
    9. Sel Ly & Kim-Hung Pho & Sal Ly & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Determining Distribution for the Product of Random Variables by Using Copulas," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Kim-Hung Pho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Optimal Solution Techniques in Decision Sciences A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 114-161, March.
    2. Sel Ly & Kim-Hung Pho & Sal Ly & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Determining Distribution for the Product of Random Variables by Using Copulas," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Wenjing Xie & João Paulo Vieito & Ephraim Clark & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Could Mergers Become More Sustainable? A Study of the Stock Exchange Mergers of NASDAQ and OMX," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-25, October.
    4. Kim-Hung Pho & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Moment Generating Function, Expectation And Variance Of Ubiquitous Distributions With Applications In Decision Sciences: A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 65-150, June.
    5. Pho, Kim Hung & Ly, Sel & Lu, Richard & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2021. "Is Bitcoin a better portfolio diversifier than gold? A copula and sectoral analysis for China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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