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Space–Time Relationship between Short-Term Exposure to Fine and Coarse Particles and Mortality in a Nationwide Analysis of Korea: A Bayesian Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Model

Author

Listed:
  • Dayun Kang

    (Department of Applied Statistics, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Korea)

  • Yujin Jang

    (Department of Applied Statistics, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Korea)

  • Hyunho Choi

    (Department of Applied Statistics, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Korea)

  • Seung-sik Hwang

    (Department of Public Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea)

  • Younseo Koo

    (Department of Environmental Engineering, Anyang University, Anyang 14028, Korea)

  • Jungsoon Choi

    (Department of Mathematics, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Korea
    Research Institute for Natural Sciences, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Korea)

Abstract

Previous studies have shown an association between mortality and ambient air pollution in South Korea. However, these studies may have been subject to bias, as they lacked adjustment for spatio-temporal structures. This paper addresses this research gap by examining the association between air pollution and cause-specific mortality in South Korea between 2012 and 2015 using a two-stage Bayesian spatio-temporal model. We used 2012–2014 mortality and air pollution data for parameter estimation (i.e., model fitting) and 2015 data for model validation. Our results suggest that the relative risks of total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality were 1.028, 1.047, and 1.045, respectively, with every 10-µg/m 3 increase in monthly PM 2.5 (fine particulate matter) exposure. These findings warrant protection of populations who experience elevated ambient air pollution exposure to mitigate mortality burden in South Korea.

Suggested Citation

  • Dayun Kang & Yujin Jang & Hyunho Choi & Seung-sik Hwang & Younseo Koo & Jungsoon Choi, 2019. "Space–Time Relationship between Short-Term Exposure to Fine and Coarse Particles and Mortality in a Nationwide Analysis of Korea: A Bayesian Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-11, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:16:y:2019:i:12:p:2111-:d:239826
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mathilde Pascal & Magali Corso & Olivier Chanel & Christophe Declercq & Chiara Badaloni & Giulia Cesaroni & Susann Henschel & Kadri Meister & Daniela Haluza & Piedad Martin-Olmedo & Sylvia Medina, 2013. "Assessing the public health impacts of urban air pollution in 25 European cities: Results of the Aphekom project," Post-Print hal-01500894, HAL.
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