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В Мае 2022 Г. Продолжилось Ужесточение Монетарной Политики В Странах G20, Прогнозы Роста Мировой Экономики Ухудшались

Author

Listed:
  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Yury N. Perevyshin

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Pavel V. Trunin

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Maria I. Chembulatova

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

ООН и Европейская комиссия ухудшили оценки роста мирового ВВП на 2022 г. до 3,1–3,2%, что ниже прогноза МВФ, опубликованного в апреле (3,6%). Снижены прогнозы темпов роста в 2022 г. экономик Китая до 4,2–4,6% и США до 2,4–2,9%. При этом продолжается ускорение инфляции, вследствие чего в мае монетарные власти всех развитых стран G20, проводивших заседания, приняли решения об ужесточении денежно-кредитной политики. ФРС заявила о начале сокращения баланса с 1 июня на 47,5 млрд долл. в месяц. О повышении ставок объявили центральные банки Индии, Бразилии, Мексики и ЮАР. Банк России на внеочередном заседании в мае снизил ключевую ставку на 3 п.п. – до 11% годовых вследствие ослабления инфляционного давления из-за сокращения спроса, укрепления обменного курса рубля и снижения инфляционных ожиданий.

Suggested Citation

  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev & Yury N. Perevyshin & Pavel V. Trunin & Maria I. Chembulatova, 2022. "В Мае 2022 Г. Продолжилось Ужесточение Монетарной Политики В Странах G20, Прогнозы Роста Мировой Экономики Ухудшались," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 4-14, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:ruserr:r2257
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    мировая экономика; темпы роста; прогноз; денежно-кредитная политика; ООН; Европейская комиссия;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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