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Is the Response of Analysts to Information Consistent with Fundamental Valuation? The Case of Intel

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Author Info
Bradford Cornell
Abstract

This paper examines the market reaction to a press release issued by Intel on Thursday, September 21, 2000. In response to that release, Intel’s stock price dropped 30%, erasing over $120 billion of shareholder wealth. By analyzing the press release in conjunction with analyst reports, and by using a discounted cash flow valuation model, I argue that the information conveyed by the announcement was not sufficient to explain the stock price drop. Surprisingly, analysts were more strongly recommending purchase of the stock in August 2000 at $75 than in September 2000 at $40. This suggests a positive feedback between stock price movements and analyst recommendations that may increase the volatility of prices.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Financial Management Association in its journal Financial Management.

Volume (Year): 30 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 (Spring)
Pages:
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Handle: RePEc:fma:fmanag:cornell01

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  1. Samuel Weaver & J. Weston, 2003. "A Unifying Theory of Value Based Management," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1037, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
  2. Sherrill Shaffer, 2008. "Earnings Valuation And Sources Of Growth," CAMA Working Papers 2008-32, Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  3. Loh, Roger & Mian, G. Mujtaba, 2005. "Do Accurate Earnings Forecasts Facilitate Superior Investment Recommendations?," Working Paper Series 2004-17, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-10.


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