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Analyst Underreaction in the United Kingdom

Author

Listed:
  • Constantina Ph. Constantinou
  • William P. Forbes
  • Len Skerratt

Abstract

We revisit the debate on the interpretation given to prior-year earnings changes in predicting analysts’ future forecast errors. We advance a new specification of this relation that distinguishes between earnings reversion and momentum. For a large UK dataset for the years 1990-1996, we find substantial underreaction, particularly in situations of earnings momentum. We find that underreaction is further increased for cases of downward earnings momentum when the analyst’s merchant bank acts as a broker to the company. We interpret this as a reporting bias caused by an analyst’s response to bad news being compromised.

Suggested Citation

  • Constantina Ph. Constantinou & William P. Forbes & Len Skerratt, 2003. "Analyst Underreaction in the United Kingdom," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 32(2), Summer.
    • Handle: RePEc:fma:fmanag:constantinouetal03
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    Cited by:

    1. Josef Fink, 2020. "A Review of the Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift," Working Paper Series, Social and Economic Sciences 2020-04, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Karl-Franzens-University Graz.
    2. Rados³aw Pastusiak & Jakub Keller, 2019. "Determinants of occurrence of excessive optimism among analysts of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(1), pages 259-275.
    3. Fink, Josef, 2021. "A review of the Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).

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