On forecasting future monetary policy: has forward-looking language mattered?
AbstractThis Economic Letter reviews the changes in the content of the FOMC statements over the past several years and examines how the accuracy of market forecasts of monetary policy has evolved. The analysis complements prior research showing that, as the FOMC took steps to foster greater transparency, the accuracy of the fed funds futures market in predicting future fed funds rates has improved. In recent years, the level of precision improved further as forward-looking language was included in the FOMC statements.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its journal FRBSF Economic Letter.
Volume (Year): (2007)
Issue (Month): Jun 15 ()
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- Raes, L.B.D. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J., 2011. "Can the Fed Talk the Hind Legs off the Stock Market? (replaced by CentER DP 2012-012)," Discussion Paper 2011-072, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2012. "Can the Fed talk the Hind Legs off the Stock Market? (replaces CentER DP 2011-072)," Discussion Paper 2012-012, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
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