IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eyd/eyjrnl/v25y2014i90p49-69.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Türkiye’de 2008 Krizinin Eksik İstihdama Etkileri

Author

Listed:
  • Serdar Acun

    (Tunceli University)

  • Bayram Güneş

    (Tunceli University)

Abstract

Bu çalışmada 2007 yılında patlak veren küresel ekonomik krizin Türkiye’de istihdam piyasasını nasıl etkilediği incelenmiştir. Öncelikli amacımız, bu krizin Türkiye’de özellikle 2007-2011 yılları arasında eksik istihdamı nasıl etkilediğini ortaya koymaktır. 2004 yılından itibaren bazı göstergelerinde iyileşme görülen Türkiye istihdam piyasasında krizin ardından bazı yapısal değişiklikler yaşanmıştır. Özelikle işsizlik ve atipik istihdam biçimlerine ilişkin göstergelerde görece hızlı sayılabilecek bir değişim gözlemlenmiştir. Çalışmamızda 2000 yılından başlayarak eksik istihdamın kriz öncesi ve sonrasındaki durumunu betimledikten sonra eksik istihdamı nelerin belirlediği lojistik regresyon modeli kullanılarak ortaya konmaya çalışılmıştır. Lojistik regresyon ya da logit modeli ikili bağımlı değişken için tasarlanmış doğrusal olmayan regresyon modelidir. Modelde, 2006-2011 yılları arasında Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu’nun hazırladığı hanehalkı iş gücü anketleri mikro veri setleri kullanılmıştır. Çalışma sonucunda erkek olmak, genç olmak, aile reisi olmamak, daha çok eğitim almak, boşanmış olmak, evde çalışıyor olmak, küçük bir işyerinde çalışmak, ücretli çalışmak, kayıtsız olmak, kırda yaşamak, tarım sektöründe çalışmak, ekonominin kriz içinde olduğu dönemde bulunmak eksik istihdam edilme olasılığını artıran unsurlar olarak belirlenmiştir.

Suggested Citation

  • Serdar Acun & Bayram Güneş, 2014. "Türkiye’de 2008 Krizinin Eksik İstihdama Etkileri," Ekonomik Yaklasim, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association, vol. 25(90), pages 49-69.
    • Handle: RePEc:eyd:eyjrnl:v:25:y:2014:i:90:p:49-69
    DOI: 10.5455/ey.35312
    Note: [English Title] The Impact of the 2008 Economic Crisis on Underemployment in Turkey [English Abstract] This study analyses how the economic crisis influenced labour market in Turkey. Our primary aim is to examine how the global economic crisis that broke out in 2007 influenced underemployment in Turkey especially between the years 2007 and 2011. After the crisis some structural changes occurred in the Turkish labour market, which showed improvement in some indicators since 2004. We have observed a relatively rapid change especially in indicators of unemployment and atypical employment. In this study we have described the situation of underemployment since the year 2000 before and after the crisis and then we have tried to figure out what determines underemployment, by using a logistic regression model. Logistic regression or the logit model is a non-linear regression model that is designed for two dependent variables. The model uses the micro data sets of the household labour force surveys for the years from 2006 to 2011, prepared by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK). The study argues that such factors as being male, young, not being a head of the family, having higher education, being divorced, working at home or in a small workplace, working on a wage, working unrecorded, working in rural areas and working in the agricultural sector are elements that increase the probability of underemployment. [English Keywords] Employment, Crisis, Underemployment, Logistic Regression.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.5455/ey.35312
    Download Restriction: No restriction for articles.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5455/ey.35312?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    İstihdam; Kriz; Eksik İstihdam; Lojistik Regresyon.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eyd:eyjrnl:v:25:y:2014:i:90:p:49-69. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ozan Eruygur (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.ekonomikyaklasim.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.